RB · CHI · #36
2023 stopped at 7 games; staying on the field is the swing factor.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
71
Range 0–154
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Depth/upside bet — RB role isn't locked starter volume yet.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
9.2 pts
0.5 PPG · 7.0 games
37.3 rush yds · 2.7 rec · 18.9 rec yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.96
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Ahmed ran for 61 yards and caught 16 passes in 2023, finishing RB73. He scored about 14% less than his touches said he should. Path runs RB90 → RB112 → RB73 — a bounce-back, not a blank slate. Only 7 games in 2023 — availability is the headline. That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery.
Half-PPR points
34.9
PPG
5.0
Positional finish
RB73
Key stats
2023: 5.0 PPG actual vs 5.8 expected from usage (7 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 14%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | RB73 | 34.9 | 5.0 | 61 | 1 | 16 | 88 | 1 | — | — |
| 2022 | RB112 | 13.7 | 2.3 | 64 | 1 | 1 | 8 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | RB90 | 32.6 | 3.0 | 149 | — | 12 | 117 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | RB64 | 63.5 | 10.6 | 319 | 3 | 11 | 61 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rush | Rec | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 W11 | 10.6 | LV | 67 plays · 58% pass | 6 | 25 / 1 TD · 3 rec | 0 |
| 2023 W9 | 2.2 | KC | 55 plays · 62% pass | 4 | 8 · 2 rec | 0 |
| 2023 W8 | 3.7 | NE | 71 plays · 63% pass | 1 | 16 · 4 rec | 0 |
| 2023 W7 | 0.8 | PHI | 44 plays · 73% pass | 3 | 0 · 1 rec | 0 |
| 2023 W6 | 10.9 | CAR | 65 plays · 49% pass | 23 / 1 TD | 11 · 3 rec | 0 |
| 2023 W2 | 5.6 | NE | 60 plays · 50% pass | 13 | 28 · 3 rec | 0 |
| 2023 W1 | 1.1 | LAC | 65 plays · 69% pass | 11 | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Rush yards they allowed per game in 2023, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2023 offense · 26.3% mean
carry share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
29.8%
2023· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2023)
Durability
Undrafted RB — this pack does not score UDFA hit rates.
No Next Gen Stats for this player yet.
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.