QB · FA · #17
Played a short 2025 (3 games) — health is the nearer question than talent.
Traded from NYG to SD (Apr 24, 2004).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
0
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Win-now veteran — still scores, but dynasty runway is short at this age for a QB.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
4.7 pts
0.3 PPG · 4.0 games
82 pass yds · 0.5 pass TD · 2 rush yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×1.02
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Rivers threw for 544 yards and 4 TDs in 2025, finishing QB49. He scored about 6% less than his touches said he should. Recent form cooled from QB19 to QB49 — watch whether that's noise or a real step down. Only 3 games in 2025 — availability is the headline. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Half-PPR points
31.7
PPG
10.6
Positional finish
QB49
Key stats
2025: 10.6 PPG actual vs 11.3 expected from usage (3 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 6%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB49 | 31.7 | 10.6 | 544 | 4 | -1 | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | QB19 | 240.0 | 15.0 | 4169 | 24 | -8 | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | QB18 | 235.5 | 14.7 | 4615 | 23 | 29 | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | QB11 | 285.0 | 17.8 | 4308 | 32 | 7 | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | QB8 | 270.4 | 16.9 | 4515 | 28 | -2 | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | QB14 | 258.9 | 16.2 | 4386 | 33 | 35 | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | QB11 | 286.5 | 17.9 | 4792 | 29 | 28 | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | QB12 | 265.6 | 16.6 | 4286 | 31 | 102 | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | QB6 | 287.4 | 18.0 | 4478 | 32 | 72 | — | — | -9 | — |
| 2012 | QB21 | 208.2 | 13.0 | 3606 | 26 | 40 | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | QB9 | 254.6 | 15.9 | 4624 | 27 | 36 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2010 | QB5 | 281.6 | 17.6 | 4710 | 30 | 52 | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | QB8 | 269.2 | 16.8 | 4254 | 28 | 50 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2008 | QB3 | 278.6 | 17.4 | 4004 | 34 | 84 | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | QB16 | 177.4 | 11.1 | 3152 | 21 | 33 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2006 | QB8 | 208.8 | 13.1 | 3387 | 22 | 53 | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | QB70 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 115 | — | -1 | — | — | — | — |
| 2004 | QB61 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 33 | 1 | -5 | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W17 | 7.8 | JAX | 53 plays · 59% pass | 147 / 1 TD | -1 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 17.1 | SF | 56 plays · 64% pass | 277 / 2 TD | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 6.8 | SEA | 57 plays · 47% pass | 120 / 1 TD | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 97.0% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
98.0%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (4 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
No Next Gen Stats for this player yet.
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.