Mitchell Tinsley headshot

WR · HOU · #82

Mitchell Tinsley

Height
HT 6'1"
Weight
WT 205 lbs
Birth date
Sep 15, 1999 (age 27)
College
Penn State; Western Kentucky

2025 stopped at 8 games; staying on the field is the swing factor.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

0

Range 7282

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Depth/upside bet — WR role isn't locked starter volume yet.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

18.1 pts

1.1 PPG · 15.0 games

7.8 rec · 98.5 rec yds · 0.7 rec TD

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Durability ×0.98

    One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.

  • Process ×0.99

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

  • Combine ×1.00

    Athletic composite 4.3/10 (RAS-like; fades after year 2).

  • Org environment ×1.02

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Hold

Tinsley caught 8 passes for 116 yards in 2025, finishing WR130. He scored about 27% less than his touches said he should. Only 8 games in 2025 — availability is the headline. The 2026 projection is thin — only roster him if you need the upside. This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell.

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

27.6

PPG

3.5

Positional finish

WR130

Key stats

  • Rec: 8 (WR151)
  • Rec yds: 116 (WR140)
  • Rec TD: 2 (WR70)

2025: 3.5 PPG actual vs 4.8 expected from usage (8 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 27%.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRecRec ydRec TDRush ydRush TDPass ydPass TD
2025WR13027.63.581162

Career arc

01020302025: 27.6 Half-PPR2820252026 projection: 18.1 Half-PPR182026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRecRushPass
2025 W160.0MIA59 plays · 56% pass000
2025 W152.1BAL68 plays · 57% pass16 · 1 rec00
2025 W133.2BAL79 plays · 58% pass22 · 2 rec00
2025 W129.9NE61 plays · 62% pass29 / 1 TD · 2 rec00
2025 W93.2CHI62 plays · 76% pass27 · 1 rec00
2025 W41.4DEN40 plays · 63% pass9 · 1 rec00
2025 W30.0MIN48 plays · 56% pass000
2025 W27.8JAX62 plays · 73% pass13 / 1 TD · 1 rec00

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpected
510152025101516Week

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • MIA
    +3% · 231 pass yards
  • BAL
    +15% · 259 pass yards
  • NE
    -8% · 207 pass yards
  • CHI
    +6% · 239 pass yards
  • DEN
    -6% · 212 pass yards
  • MIN
    -21% · 178 pass yards
  • JAX
    +3% · 231 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 24.6% mean

255075100W1W18

target share

25507510025101516Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

21.8%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles
0
Avg depth of target
14.8
Drop %
8.3%

Durability

  • 2023
  • 2024
  • 2025
    8 G
  • 15.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.

Undrafted WR — this pack does not score UDFA hit rates.

Next Gen Stats

No Next Gen Stats for this player yet.

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Mitchell Tinsley's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Tinsley scores 0 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Mitchell Tinsley's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 1.1 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Mitchell Tinsley in dynasty right now?
This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.