Michael Wilson headshot

WR · ARI · #14

Michael Wilson

Height
HT 6'2"
Weight
WT 209 lbs
Birth date
Feb 23, 2000 (age 26.5)
College
Stanford

Finish path matters here: WR61 → WR13 is a breakout, not a development pitch.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

4,480

Range 4,0504,797

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

159.7 pts

9.4 PPG · 16.0 games

68.8 rec · 879.6 rec yds · 6 rec TD

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Process ×0.99

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

Quick answer

Buy

Wilson caught 78 passes for 1,006 yards in 2025, finishing WR13. Coming off a real climb — WR61 to WR13 tells the story better than age. 2026 looks more like a flex than a locked starter. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.

NextDyne coverage

Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Michael Wilson.

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

181.6

PPG

10.7

Positional finish

WR13

Key stats

  • Rec: 78 (WR13)
  • Rec yds: 1006 (WR17)
  • Rec TD: 7 (WR11)

2025: 10.7 PPG actual vs 10.4 expected from usage (17 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 3%.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRecRec ydRec TDRush ydRush TDPass ydPass TD
2025WR13181.610.77810067
2024WR61103.06.44754847
2023WR6095.57.3385653

Career arc

0501001502002023: 95.5 Half-PPR9620232024: 103.0 Half-PPR10320242025: 181.6 Half-PPR18220252026 projection: 159.7 Half-PPR1602026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRecRushPass
2025 W1818.4LA47 plays · 68% pass99 / 1 TD · 5 rec00
2025 W1717.4CIN50 plays · 74% pass89 / 1 TD · 5 rec00
2025 W1612.2ATL54 plays · 57% pass52 / 1 TD · 2 rec00
2025 W1513.9HOU61 plays · 66% pass54 / 1 TD · 5 rec00
2025 W1431.7LA58 plays · 76% pass142 / 2 TD · 11 rec00
2025 W135.1TB59 plays · 68% pass36 · 3 rec00
2025 W1216.8JAX70 plays · 71% pass118 · 10 rec00
2025 W1126.0SF71 plays · 80% pass185 · 15 rec00
2025 W105.4SEA68 plays · 66% pass34 · 4 rec00
2025 W97.6DAL60 plays · 52% pass61 · 3 rec00

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpected
51015202530359101112131415161718Week

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • LA
    +4% · 235 pass yards
  • CIN
    +9% · 246 pass yards
  • ATL
    -1% · 222 pass yards
  • HOU
    -9% · 205 pass yards
  • TB
    +13% · 255 pass yards
  • JAX
    +3% · 231 pass yards
  • SF
    +7% · 242 pass yards
  • SEA
    -5% · 213 pass yards
  • DAL
    +18% · 266 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 81.4% mean

255075100W1W18

target share

2550751009101112131415161718Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

85.0%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles
3
Avg depth of target
11.9
Drop %
0.8%

Durability

  • 2023
    13 G · 2 Out
  • 2024
    16 G
  • 2025
    17 G
  • 16.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.

R3 (94 overall) WR · that slot hit at 18.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=64; contributor 34.4%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample

Separation
2.44yd

65th of 85

Cushion
5.98yd

54th of 85

YAC above expected
0.57yd

39th of 85

Air yards share
31.9%

17th of 85

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Michael Wilson's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Wilson scores 4,480 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Michael Wilson's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 9.4 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Michael Wilson in dynasty right now?
The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.