WR · ARI · #14
Finish path matters here: WR61 → WR13 is a breakout, not a development pitch.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
4,480
Range 4,050–4,797
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
159.7 pts
9.4 PPG · 16.0 games
68.8 rec · 879.6 rec yds · 6 rec TD
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Wilson caught 78 passes for 1,006 yards in 2025, finishing WR13. Coming off a real climb — WR61 to WR13 tells the story better than age. 2026 looks more like a flex than a locked starter. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Michael Wilson.
Half-PPR points
181.6
PPG
10.7
Positional finish
WR13
Key stats
2025: 10.7 PPG actual vs 10.4 expected from usage (17 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 3%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | WR13 | 181.6 | 10.7 | 78 | 1006 | 7 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR61 | 103.0 | 6.4 | 47 | 548 | 4 | 7 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | WR60 | 95.5 | 7.3 | 38 | 565 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 18.4 | LA | 47 plays · 68% pass | 99 / 1 TD · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 17.4 | CIN | 50 plays · 74% pass | 89 / 1 TD · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 12.2 | ATL | 54 plays · 57% pass | 52 / 1 TD · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 13.9 | HOU | 61 plays · 66% pass | 54 / 1 TD · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 31.7 | LA | 58 plays · 76% pass | 142 / 2 TD · 11 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 5.1 | TB | 59 plays · 68% pass | 36 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 16.8 | JAX | 70 plays · 71% pass | 118 · 10 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 26.0 | SF | 71 plays · 80% pass | 185 · 15 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 5.4 | SEA | 68 plays · 66% pass | 34 · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 7.6 | DAL | 60 plays · 52% pass | 61 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 81.4% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
85.0%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R3 (94 overall) WR · that slot hit at 18.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=64; contributor 34.4%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
65th of 85
54th of 85
39th of 85
17th of 85
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.