Josh Palmer headshot

WR · BUF · #5

Josh Palmer

Height
HT 6'1"
Weight
WT 210 lbs
Birth date
Sep 22, 1999 (age 27)
College
Tennessee

WR76 slipped to WR108 last year; that's the warning.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

112

Range 317414

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Depth/upside bet — WR role isn't locked starter volume yet.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

61.5 pts

3.6 PPG · 13.1 games

25.2 rec · 377.7 rec yds · 1.4 rec TD

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Durability ×0.98

    2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games — slight availability risk, not a short 2026 slate.

  • Process ×1.01

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

  • Org environment ×0.99

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Watch

Palmer caught 22 passes for 303 yards in 2025, finishing WR108. He scored about 28% less than his touches said he should. Production trend is soft: WR76 → WR108 over the last two seasons. The 2026 projection is thin — only roster him if you need the upside. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

41.3

PPG

3.4

Positional finish

WR108

Key stats

  • Rec: 22 (WR97)
  • Rec yds: 303 (WR90)
  • Rec TD:

2025: 3.4 PPG actual vs 4.7 expected from usage (12 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 28%.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRecRec ydRec TDRush ydRush TDPass ydPass TD
2025WR10841.33.422303
2024WR7687.95.9395841
2023WR6487.78.83858126
2022WR40133.38.37276934
2021WR7576.45.13335346

Career arc

0501001502021: 76.4 Half-PPR7620212022: 133.3 Half-PPR13320222023: 87.7 Half-PPR8820232024: 87.9 Half-PPR8820242025: 41.3 Half-PPR4120252026 projection: 61.5 Half-PPR612026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRecRushPass
2025 W180.6NYJ72 plays · 40% pass1 · 1 rec00
2025 W171.7PHI68 plays · 52% pass12 · 1 rec00
2025 W160.7CLE48 plays · 40% pass2 · 1 rec00
2025 W152.1NE65 plays · 43% pass16 · 1 rec00
2025 W123.1HOU58 plays · 59% pass21 · 2 rec00
2025 W112.7TB53 plays · 57% pass17 · 2 rec00
2025 W67.0ATL50 plays · 52% pass60 · 2 rec00
2025 W54.6NE60 plays · 52% pass36 · 2 rec00
2025 W43.5NO54 plays · 41% pass25 · 2 rec00
2025 W31.0MIA55 plays · 51% pass5 · 1 rec00

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpected
510152035101518Week

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • NYJ
    +1% · 226 pass yards
  • PHI
    -9% · 205 pass yards
  • CLE
    -16% · 189 pass yards
  • NE
    -8% · 207 pass yards
  • HOU
    -9% · 205 pass yards
  • TB
    +13% · 255 pass yards
  • ATL
    -1% · 222 pass yards
  • NO
    -13% · 196 pass yards
  • MIA
    +3% · 231 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 48.3% mean

255075100W1W18

target share

25507510035101518Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

56.7%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles
0
Avg depth of target
11.5
Drop %
0.0%

Durability

  • 2023
    10 G · 3 Out
  • 2024
    15 G · 1 Out
  • 2025
    12 G · 2 Out
  • 13.1 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.

R3 (77 overall) WR · that slot hit at 18.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=64; contributor 34.4%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2024 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample

Separation
2.56yd

79th of 97

Cushion
6.61yd

19th of 97

YAC above expected
0.14yd

68th of 97

Air yards share
23.4%

45th of 97

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Josh Palmer's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Palmer scores 112 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Josh Palmer's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 3.6 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Josh Palmer in dynasty right now?
Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.