DB · MIN · #24
From DB216 to DB279 through 5 games is a dip in pace, not a locked finish.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
151
Range 370–456
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection In-season usage moved the score inside this range.
Proven DB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
8.3 pts
1.7 PPG
4 solo
Week 9 projection
2.4 pts
vs BUF · floor–ceiling 1.0–3.8
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.95
3 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Ward had 4 solo tackles in 2026, ranking DB279 through 5 games. Through 5 games the rank is DB279, off a DB216 season. Wait for more games before calling it a decline. The 2026 projection is thin — only roster him if you need the upside. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Jay Ward.
IDP (solo 1.5 / sack 4) points
8.3
PPG
1.7
Rank so far
DB279
Key stats
2026 week shape
0/5 Boom 0%
5/5 Bust 100%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
| Season | Finish | IDP (solo 1.5 / sack 4) FP | PPG | Solo | Sacks | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | DB279so far | 8.3 | 1.7 | 4 | — | — |
| 2025 | DB216 | 36.0 | 3.0 | 13 | — | — |
| 2024 | DB286 | 6.0 | 0.8 | 2 | — | — |
| 2023 | DB226 | 13.8 | 2.0 | 5 | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | IDP (solo 1.5 / sack 4) FP | Opp | Script | Solo | Sacks | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W8 | 1.5Bust | DET | 47 plays · 62% pass | 1 | — | — |
| 2026 W7 | 3.0Bust | IND | 53 plays · 45% pass | 2 | — | — |
| 2026 W5 | 0.8Bust | NO | 66 plays · 46% pass | — | — | — |
| 2026 W4 | 2.3Bust | MIA | 68 plays · 54% pass | 1 | — | — |
| 2026 W2 | 0.8Bust | CHI | 48 plays · 42% pass | — | — | — |
Weekly IDP (solo 1.5 / sack 4)
Hover a week for the total.
Snap share
2025 defense · 29.7% mean
Pass-play participation
0.0%
2025 · share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
Next Gen tracking is for skill-position players.
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.