QB · ARI · #15
Gardner Minshew
- Height
- HT 6'1"
- Weight
- WT 225 lbs
- Birth date
- May 16, 1996 (age 30.3)
- College
- Washington State
Played a short 2025 (4 games) — health is the nearer question than talent.
Traded from JAX to PHI (Aug 28, 2021).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
0
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
50.2 pts
3.0 PPG · 6.0 games
970.1 pass yds · 5.1 pass TD · 28 rush yds
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.95
2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Process ×1.02
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Quick answer
WatchMinshew threw for 37 yards in 2025, finishing QB79. He scored about 106% less than his touches said he should. Recent form cooled from QB35 to QB79 — watch whether that's noise or a real step down. Played a short 2025 (4 games) — health is the nearer question than talent. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
2025 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
-0.3
PPG
-0.1
Positional finish
QB79
Key stats
- Pass yds: 37 (QB70)
- Pass TD: —
2025: -0.1 PPG actual vs 1.8 expected from usage (2 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 106%.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB79 | -0.3 | -0.1 | 37 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB35 | 96.3 | 9.6 | 2013 | 9 | 58 | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB21 | 196.2 | 12.3 | 3305 | 15 | 100 | 3 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB48 | 36.8 | 7.4 | 663 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB45 | 33.7 | 11.2 | 439 | 4 | 21 | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | QB26 | 160.2 | 17.8 | 2259 | 16 | 153 | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| 2019 | QB20 | 229.2 | 16.4 | 3271 | 21 | 344 | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2025)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W16 | 1.4 | TEN | 39 plays · 62% pass | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | -1.1 | LAC | 54 plays · 61% pass | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W7 | -0.3 | LV | 76 plays · 46% pass | 0 | -3 | 0 |
| 2025 W4 | -0.3 | BAL | 69 plays · 54% pass | 0 | -3 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
- TEN+10% · 248 pass yards
- LAC-13% · 195 pass yards
- LV-5% · 214 pass yards
- BAL+15% · 259 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 16.8% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
10.1%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Pressure rate
- 14.3%
- On-target throw %
- 63.6%
- Avg time in pocket
- 2.1s
Durability
- 202316 G
- 202410 G
- 20254 G
- 6.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.
R6 (178 overall) QB · that slot hit at 0.0% in 2010–2023 classes (n=22; contributor 4.5%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
Next Gen Stats
2024 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
- Time to throw
- 2.71s
- Aggressiveness
- 17.3%
- CPOE
- 1.6pp
- Air yds to sticks
- -2.7yd
10th of 43
11th of 43
17th of 43
41st of 43
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Gardner Minshew's dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Minshew scores 0 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Gardner Minshew's 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 3.0 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Gardner Minshew in dynasty right now?
- Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.