TE · SEA · #18
Still early at 23; there's room left if the job sticks.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
249
Range 135–364
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Depth/upside bet — TE role isn't locked starter volume yet.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
9.4 pts
0.6 PPG · 7.0 games
4.9 rec · 53.2 rec yds · 0.3 rec TD
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×1.02
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Combine ×1.00
Athletic composite 4.2/10 (RAS-like; fades after year 2).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Arroyo caught 15 passes for 179 yards in 2025, finishing TE61. He scored about 28% less than his touches said he should. Still early at 23; there's room left if the job sticks. The 2026 projection is cautious — wait for a real role change before paying up. Age is on his side — a reasonable buy if the TE role keeps opening up.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Elijah Arroyo.
Half-PPR points
29.4
PPG
2.3
Positional finish
TE61
Key stats
2025: 2.3 PPG actual vs 3.2 expected from usage (13 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 28%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | TE61 | 29.4 | 2.3 | 15 | 179 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W14 | 0.0 | ATL | 56 plays · 54% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 0.0 | MIN | 58 plays · 45% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 1.0 | TEN | 46 plays · 57% pass | 5 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 0.0 | LA | 79 plays · 56% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 1.0 | ARI | 58 plays · 21% pass | 5 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 9.9 | WAS | 48 plays · 50% pass | 29 / 1 TD · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W7 | 4.2 | HOU | 65 plays · 49% pass | 42 · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W6 | 1.1 | JAX | 53 plays · 51% pass | 6 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W5 | 1.5 | TB | 54 plays · 63% pass | 10 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W4 | 5.4 | ARI | 61 plays · 43% pass | 44 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 39.5% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
41.3%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R2 (50 overall) TE · that slot hit at 38.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=26; contributor 53.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
No Next Gen Stats for this player yet.
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.