QB · TB · #16
Coming off a real climb — QB78 to QB40 tells the story better than age; 2023 also ended early (5 games).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
0
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Depth/upside bet — QB role isn't locked starter volume yet.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
7.0 pts
0.4 PPG · 4.0 games
104.2 pass yds · 0.5 pass TD · 12.3 rush yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Combine ×1.01
Athletic composite 7.2/10 (RAS-like; fades after year 2).
Stick threw for 1,129 yards and 3 TDs in 2023, finishing QB40. He scored about 21% less than his touches said he should. Finish path matters here: QB78 → QB40 is a breakout, not a development pitch. Played a short 2023 (5 games) — health is the nearer question than talent. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.
Half-PPR points
67.6
PPG
13.5
Positional finish
QB40
Key stats
2023: 13.5 PPG actual vs 17.0 expected from usage (5 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 21%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | QB40 | 67.6 | 13.5 | 1129 | 3 | 144 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | QB78 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4 | — | -2 | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 W18 | 16.0 | KC | 77 plays · 61% pass | 258 | 77 | 0 |
| 2023 W17 | 11.9 | DEN | 62 plays · 61% pass | 220 | 31 | 0 |
| 2023 W16 | 17.1 | BUF | 60 plays · 55% pass | 215 | 25 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2023 W15 | 17.4 | LV | 60 plays · 53% pass | 257 / 3 TD | 11 | 0 |
| 2023 W14 | 5.2 | DEN | 61 plays · 69% pass | 179 | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2023, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2023 offense · 90.8% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
90.5%
2023· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2023)
Durability
R5 (166 overall) QB · that slot hit at 0.0% in 2010–2023 classes (n=19; contributor 5.3%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
No Next Gen Stats for this player yet.
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.