QB · SEA · #2
2025 stopped at 3 games; staying on the field is the swing factor.
Traded from DEN to SEA (Mar 8, 2022).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
0
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
11.5 pts
0.7 PPG · 6.0 games
162.1 pass yds · 1 pass TD · 14.1 rush yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.95
3 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Process ×1.03
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Lock threw for 15 yards in 2025, finishing QB72. He scored about 100% less than his touches said he should. Recent form cooled from QB39 to QB72 — watch whether that's noise or a real step down. Played a short 2025 (3 games) — health is the nearer question than talent. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Drew Lock.
Sam Darnold "Dodged a Bullet." Here's His Updated Timeline.
Sam Darnold's MRI results are in — the Seahawks say he "dodged a bullet." Here's his return timeline and updated dynasty value after Week 1.
Sam Darnold Is Out for the Rest of Week 1. Here's What We Know.
Sam Darnold is out for the rest of Seattle's Week 1 opener with a right hip injury. Here's what it means for his dynasty value and Drew Lock's outlook.
Half-PPR points
0.1
PPG
0.0
Positional finish
QB72
Key stats
2025: 0.0 PPG actual vs 0.9 expected from usage (1 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 100%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB72 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 15 | — | -5 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB39 | 80.1 | 11.4 | 1071 | 6 | 133 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB48 | 29.1 | 7.3 | 543 | 3 | 14 | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB41 | 51.4 | 8.6 | 787 | 2 | 53 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2020 | QB23 | 181.3 | 13.9 | 2933 | 16 | 160 | 3 | — | — | — |
| 2019 | QB36 | 68.0 | 13.6 | 1020 | 7 | 72 | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W14 | 0.0 | ATL | 56 plays · 54% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | -0.4 | ARI | 58 plays · 21% pass | 0 | -4 | 0 |
| 2025 W3 | 0.5 | NO | 54 plays · 39% pass | 15 | -1 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 13.0% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
2.1%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R2 (42 overall) QB · that slot hit at 30.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=13; contributor 30.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2024 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
27th of 43
12th of 43
38th of 43
40th of 43
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.