RB · BAL · #22
He's 33 — older RBs usually lose work and upside.
Picked by the Titans in 2016 via a trade with the Rams.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
5,033
Range 4,594–5,464
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Win-now veteran — still scores, but dynasty runway is short at this age for a RB.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
235.3 pts
13.8 PPG · 15.2 games
1332.2 rush yds · 15.8 rec · 157.5 rec yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×1.01
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Henry ran for 1,595 yards and caught 15 passes in 2025, finishing RB7. He scored 11% more than his touches said he should. He's 33 now, old enough that decline risk is real. The 2026 projection still has him in every-week starter range. Age makes this a fade risk in dynasty — win-now value only, don't pay a long-term price.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Derrick Henry.
Half-PPR points
272.0
PPG
16.0
Positional finish
RB7
Key stats
2025: 16.0 PPG actual vs 14.4 expected from usage (17 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 11%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | RB7 | 272.0 | 16.0 | 1595 | 16 | 15 | 150 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | RB3 | 326.9 | 19.2 | 1921 | 16 | 19 | 193 | 2 | — | — |
| 2023 | RB8 | 232.7 | 13.7 | 1167 | 12 | 28 | 214 | — | 14 | 2 |
| 2022 | RB4 | 286.3 | 17.9 | 1538 | 13 | 33 | 398 | — | 4 | 1 |
| 2021 | RB16 | 184.3 | 23.0 | 937 | 10 | 18 | 154 | — | 5 | 1 |
| 2020 | RB2 | 323.6 | 20.2 | 2027 | 17 | 19 | 114 | — | — | — |
| 2019 | RB3 | 285.6 | 19.0 | 1540 | 16 | 18 | 206 | 2 | — | — |
| 2018 | RB14 | 193.9 | 12.1 | 1059 | 12 | 15 | 99 | — | 14 | — |
| 2017 | RB31 | 129.5 | 8.1 | 744 | 5 | 11 | 136 | 1 | — | — |
| 2016 | RB42 | 99.2 | 7.1 | 490 | 5 | 13 | 137 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rush | Rec | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 12.6 | PIT | 45 plays · 40% pass | 126 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 45.6 | GB | 73 plays · 27% pass | 216 / 4 TD | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 22.8 | NE | 53 plays · 38% pass | 128 / 2 TD | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 10.0 | CIN | 36 plays · 33% pass | 100 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 10.7 | PIT | 75 plays · 47% pass | 94 | 8 · 1 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 16.9 | CIN | 54 plays · 59% pass | 60 / 1 TD | 44 · 1 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 21.8 | NYJ | 57 plays · 40% pass | 64 / 2 TD | 24 · 2 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 19.2 | CLE | 55 plays · 46% pass | 103 / 1 TD | 19 · 2 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 9.9 | MIN | 65 plays · 45% pass | 75 | 9 · 3 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 12.6 | MIA | 54 plays · 43% pass | 119 | 2 · 1 rec | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Rush yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 54.5% mean
carry share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
39.6%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R2 (45 overall) RB · that slot hit at 56.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=37; contributor 70.3%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
3rd of 51
4th of 51
2nd of 51
28th of 51
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.