TE · CAR · #35
Played a short 2025 (9 games) — health is the nearer question than talent.
Traded from NYG to MIA (Jul 1, 2025).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
28
Range 307–406
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Depth/upside bet — TE role isn't locked starter volume yet.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
30.1 pts
1.8 PPG · 7.0 games
15.8 rec · 167.7 rec yds · 0.9 rec TD
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.95
2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Process ×1.02
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Waller caught 24 passes for 283 yards in 2025, finishing TE31. He scored 18% more than his touches said he should. Recent form cooled from TE21 to TE31 — watch whether that's noise or a real step down. Played a short 2025 (9 games) — health is the nearer question than talent. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Darren Waller.
Half-PPR points
76.7
PPG
8.5
Positional finish
TE31
Key stats
2025: 8.5 PPG actual vs 7.2 expected from usage (8 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 18%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | TE31 | 76.7 | 8.5 | 24 | 283 | 6 | 4 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | TE21 | 87.2 | 7.3 | 52 | 552 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | TE29 | 70.8 | 8.9 | 28 | 388 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | TE19 | 106.0 | 9.6 | 55 | 665 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | TE2 | 225.1 | 14.1 | 107 | 1196 | 9 | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | TE3 | 176.0 | 11.0 | 90 | 1145 | 3 | 5 | — | — | — |
| 2018 | TE81 | 12.6 | 3.2 | 6 | 75 | — | 21 | — | — | — |
| 2016 | TE58 | 25.5 | 2.6 | 10 | 85 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | TE98 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 2 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W17 | 0.5 | TB | 52 plays · 42% pass | 0 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 5.5 | CIN | 58 plays · 52% pass | 40 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 22.1 | PIT | 44 plays · 64% pass | 66 / 2 TD · 7 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 2.2 | NYJ | 62 plays · 34% pass | 13 · 1 rec | 4 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 5.7 | NO | 55 plays · 42% pass | 47 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W7 | 0.0 | CLE | 53 plays · 59% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W6 | 8.2 | LAC | 54 plays · 61% pass | 12 / 1 TD · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W5 | 16.3 | CAR | 50 plays · 72% pass | 78 / 1 TD · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W4 | 16.2 | NYJ | 56 plays · 45% pass | 27 / 2 TD · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 45.0% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
55.7%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R6 (204 overall) TE · that slot hit at 3.6% in 2010–2023 classes (n=28; contributor 7.1%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
No Next Gen Stats for this player yet.
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.