QB · CHI · #18
Caleb Williams
- Height
- HT 6'1"
- Weight
- WT 226 lbs
- Birth date
- Nov 18, 2001 (age 24.8)
- College
- USC; Oklahoma
Finish path matters here: QB16 → QB5 is a breakout, not a development pitch.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
8,431
Range 7,642–9,206
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Young QB with proof and a long runway.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
346.3 pts
20.4 PPG · 16.5 games
4454.4 pass yds · 28.3 pass TD · 481.1 rush yds
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Versatility ×1.02
Light floor from multi-role usage (rush+receive or dual-threat).
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Quick answer
BuyWilliams threw for 3,942 yards and 27 TDs in 2025, finishing QB5. The last two seasons moved from QB16 to QB5 — that's the dynasty read. 2026 still treats him as a QB you start every week. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.
NextDyne coverage
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Caleb Williams.
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Is Caleb Williams a Buy-Low After Year One in Chicago?
Caleb Williams jumped from QB16 to QB5 in his second season, even with rough underlying accuracy metrics. Here's an honest look at his dynasty value heading into 2026.
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2025 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
317.2
PPG
18.7
Positional finish
QB5
Key stats
- Pass yds: 3942 (QB7)
- Pass TD: 27 (QB6)
2025: 18.7 PPG actual vs 19.0 expected from usage (17 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 2%.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB5 | 317.2 | 18.7 | 3942 | 27 | 383 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 1 |
| 2024 | QB16 | 254.5 | 15.0 | 3541 | 20 | 489 | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2025)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 16.6 | DET | 51 plays · 65% pass | 212 / 2 TD | 1 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 23.0 | SF | 64 plays · 66% pass | 330 / 2 TD | 18 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 21.0 | GB | 60 plays · 57% pass | 250 / 2 TD | 30 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 19.0 | CLE | 61 plays · 46% pass | 242 / 2 TD | 13 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 14.9 | GB | 67 plays · 52% pass | 186 / 2 TD | 15 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 9.5 | PHI | 83 plays · 43% pass | 154 / 1 TD | 13 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 21.7 | PIT | 60 plays · 58% pass | 239 / 3 TD | 21 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 10.3 | MIN | 71 plays · 45% pass | 193 | 26 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 25.1 | NYG | 64 plays · 56% pass | 220 / 1 TD | 63 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 37.7 | CIN | 74 plays · 50% pass | 280 / 3 TD | 53 | 22 / 1 TD · 2 rec |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
- DET+5% · 237 pass yards
- SF+7% · 242 pass yards
- GB-8% · 207 pass yards
- CLE-16% · 189 pass yards
- PHI-9% · 205 pass yards
- PIT+16% · 261 pass yards
- MIN-21% · 178 pass yards
- NYG+2% · 230 pass yards
- CIN+9% · 246 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 99.1% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
99.6%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Pressure rate
- 25.1%
- On-target throw %
- 69.8%
- Avg time in pocket
- 2.5s
Durability
- 2023—
- 202417 G
- 202517 G
- 16.5 projected games — last three seasons at a full slate.
R1 (1 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
Next Gen Stats
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
- Time to throw
- 3.20s
- Aggressiveness
- 10.6%
- CPOE
- -6.9pp
- Air yds to sticks
- -0.5yd
41st of 42
42nd of 42
41st of 42
13th of 42
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Caleb Williams's dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Williams scores 8,431 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Caleb Williams's 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 20.4 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Caleb Williams in dynasty right now?
- The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.