QB · SF · #13
Played a short 2025 (9 games) — health is the nearer question than talent.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
7,121
Range 6,467–7,763
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
296.1 pts
17.4 PPG · 15.0 games
4142.3 pass yds · 28.5 pass TD · 287.7 rush yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Purdy threw for 2,167 yards and 20 TDs in 2025, finishing QB23. Production trend is soft: QB13 → QB23 over the last two seasons. Only 9 games in 2025 — availability is the headline. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Brock Purdy.
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Patrick Mahomes tore his ACL and LCL in December. Here's what his recovery timeline means for his dynasty value heading into 2026.
Half-PPR points
177.4
PPG
19.7
Positional finish
QB23
Key stats
2025: 19.7 PPG actual vs 20.2 expected from usage (9 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 3%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB23 | 177.4 | 19.7 | 2167 | 20 | 147 | 3 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB13 | 266.9 | 17.8 | 3864 | 20 | 323 | 5 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB6 | 295.6 | 18.5 | 4280 | 31 | 144 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB33 | 106.3 | 11.8 | 1374 | 13 | 13 | 1 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 5.2 | SEA | 39 plays · 69% pass | 127 | 21 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 36.9 | CHI | 67 plays · 49% pass | 303 / 3 TD | 28 / 2 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 30.9 | IND | 65 plays · 52% pass | 295 / 5 TD | 11 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 26.2 | TEN | 68 plays · 44% pass | 295 / 3 TD | 44 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 17.1 | CLE | 63 plays · 48% pass | 168 / 1 TD | 4 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 7.3 | CAR | 70 plays · 46% pass | 193 / 1 TD | 16 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 19.3 | ARI | 51 plays · 51% pass | 200 / 3 TD | -7 | 0 |
| 2025 W4 | 17.7 | JAX | 62 plays · 61% pass | 309 / 2 TD | 13 | 0 |
| 2025 W1 | 16.8 | SEA | 71 plays · 49% pass | 277 / 2 TD | 17 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 97.8% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
98.9%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R7 (262 overall) QB · that slot hit at 4.2% in 2010–2023 classes (n=24; contributor 4.2%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
40th of 42
21st of 42
2nd of 42
12th of 42
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.