QB · DEN · #10
Finishes have held in starter territory without a wild swing.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
8,060
Range 7,309–8,797
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Young QB with runway — the score still pays for the years ahead.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
344.2 pts
20.2 PPG · 16.5 games
4460.6 pass yds · 28.9 pass TD · 447.9 rush yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Versatility ×1.02
Light floor from multi-role usage (rush+receive or dual-threat).
Org environment ×1.02
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Nix threw for 3,931 yards and 25 TDs in 2025, finishing QB7. He fractured his ankle in the playoffs and needed a follow-up surgery to clear bone spurs, but he's practicing with no restrictions and says he isn't scaling back his running. Denver also traded a first-round pick for Jaylen Waddle this spring, the best receiver Nix has played with as a pro. The 2026 projection keeps him in every-week starter range. This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Bo Nix.
Starting QB Stats Look Down From 2015. The Box Score Is Lying to You.
Starting QB passing yards and TDs are down from the 2015-2020 peak. The data says it's fewer attempts, not worse quarterbacks — here's what that means for dynasty value.
Is Drake Maye the Best Buy-Low QB in Dynasty?
Drake Maye finished QB2 in 2025 and just got A.J. Brown as a new weapon. The latest board has caught up — 8,045 DVS, fourth among quarterbacks.
Jayden Daniels Missed Half of 2025 — Is He Still a Top-Tier Dynasty QB?
Jayden Daniels played just 7 games in 2025 due to three separate injuries. The latest board keeps him in the QB1 mix — 6,973 DVS, 13th among quarterbacks — with an 18.7-point 2026 projection.
Is Bo Nix Undervalued in Dynasty? The Case for a Healthy, Well-Supported QB2
Bo Nix was a top-5 projected scorer sitting 16th in dynasty value. The latest board closed that gap — here is what changed, and what still matters.
Bo Nix Positive on Ankle Recovery — Dual-Threat Stays On
Bo Nix says his ankle feels normal after two surgeries and he will keep scrambling. What dual-threat upside and injury risk mean for dynasty shares — plus the Taysom Hill explore.
Top 20 Quarterbacks: Dynasty Value Score
Dynasty QB value doesn't match the season-projection board — Bo Nix and Drake Maye sit in the top four, and Matthew Stafford still sits 20th despite leading 2026 points. The Top 20 QBs by Dynasty Value Score.
Half-PPR points
304.8
PPG
17.9
Positional finish
QB7
Key stats
2025: 17.9 PPG actual vs 18.6 expected from usage (17 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 4%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB7 | 304.8 | 17.9 | 3931 | 25 | 356 | 5 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB7 | 316.7 | 18.6 | 3775 | 29 | 430 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 10.5 | LAC | 54 plays · 43% pass | 141 | 49 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 19.5 | KC | 70 plays · 54% pass | 182 / 1 TD | 42 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 15.2 | JAX | 64 plays · 73% pass | 352 / 1 TD | 11 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 29.1 | GB | 65 plays · 52% pass | 302 / 4 TD | 10 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 16.0 | LV | 69 plays · 55% pass | 212 | 15 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 16.4 | WAS | 68 plays · 66% pass | 321 / 1 TD | 16 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 12.6 | KC | 59 plays · 64% pass | 295 | 8 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 5.8 | LV | 55 plays · 51% pass | 150 / 1 TD | -2 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 18.5 | HOU | 60 plays · 62% pass | 173 / 2 TD | 36 | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 23.8 | DAL | 57 plays · 51% pass | 247 / 4 TD | -1 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 99.6% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
100.0%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (12 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
27th of 42
41st of 42
30th of 42
28th of 42
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.