WR · DET · #14
No drama in the trend: a reliable top-tier WR of late.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
8,807
Range 7,954–9,588
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
260.6 pts
15.3 PPG · 16.4 games
115.5 rec · 1382.3 rec yds · 10.3 rec TD
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Brown caught 117 passes for 1,401 yards in 2025, finishing WR3. He's 27 — that's peak WR age, not a wait-and-see profile. Into 2026, the projection still expects starter production. This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Amon-Ra St. Brown.
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Half-PPR points
265.5
PPG
15.6
Positional finish
WR3
Key stats
2025: 15.6 PPG actual vs 15.8 expected from usage (17 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 1%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | WR3 | 265.5 | 15.6 | 117 | 1401 | 11 | 9 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR3 | 258.7 | 15.2 | 115 | 1263 | 12 | 6 | — | 7 | 1 |
| 2023 | WR3 | 271.4 | 17.0 | 119 | 1515 | 10 | 24 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | WR8 | 214.6 | 13.4 | 106 | 1161 | 6 | 95 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | WR21 | 182.3 | 11.4 | 90 | 912 | 5 | 61 | 1 | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 19.4 | CHI | 69 plays · 61% pass | 139 · 11 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 10.8 | MIN | 59 plays · 49% pass | 68 · 8 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 7.4 | PIT | 66 plays · 82% pass | 54 · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 34.9 | LA | 61 plays · 67% pass | 164 / 2 TD · 13 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 12.2 | DAL | 56 plays · 61% pass | 92 · 6 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 0.0 | GB | 57 plays · 47% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 25.4 | NYG | 62 plays · 68% pass | 149 / 1 TD · 9 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 5.2 | PHI | 58 plays · 64% pass | 42 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 14.3 | WAS | 68 plays · 52% pass | 58 / 1 TD · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 14.2 | MIN | 57 plays · 65% pass | 97 · 9 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 85.2% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
91.4%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R4 (112 overall) WR · that slot hit at 4.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=63; contributor 14.3%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
34th of 85
47th of 85
49th of 85
5th of 85
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.