QB · NYJ · #7
2026 stopped at 1 games; staying on the field is the swing factor; the downside gets steeper at 35.9.
Traded from LV to NYJ (Mar 10, 2026).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
765
Range 764–765
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Peak window — still valuable, but age is already shaping the dynasty price.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
201.5 pts
11.9 PPG · 15.0 games
3267 pass yds · 20.5 pass TD · 117.7 rush yds
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Smith threw for 215 yards in 2026, finishing QB28. Only 1 games in 2026 — availability is the headline. At 36, age is the lead risk for a QB. Age makes this a fade risk in dynasty — win-now value only, don't pay a long-term price.
Half-PPR points
9.3
PPG
9.3
Positional finish
QB28
Key stats
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | QB28 | 9.3 | 9.3 | 215 | — | 7 | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | QB24 | 173.9 | 11.6 | 3025 | 19 | 109 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB14 | 266.0 | 15.6 | 4320 | 21 | 272 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB19 | 226.8 | 15.1 | 3624 | 20 | 155 | 1 | 1 | -2 | — |
| 2022 | QB5 | 303.9 | 17.9 | 4282 | 30 | 366 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB40 | 54.3 | 13.6 | 702 | 5 | 42 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | QB75 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 33 | — | -2 | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | QB71 | -1.5 | -0.4 | 8 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | QB53 | 9.7 | 4.9 | 212 | 1 | 12 | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | QB55 | 7.9 | 4.0 | 126 | 1 | 9 | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | QB51 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 265 | 2 | 34 | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | QB26 | 150.8 | 10.8 | 2525 | 13 | 238 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2013 | QB20 | 194.2 | 12.1 | 3046 | 12 | 366 | 6 | 1 | 13 | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | 9.3 | TEN | 63 plays · 38% pass | 215 | 7 | 0 |
Week 1 Engine grade
Projected 12.6 · scored 9.3 half-PPR · inside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +3.3.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 96.5% mean
Pass-play participation
96.7%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R2 (39 overall) QB · that slot hit at 30.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=13; contributor 30.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
19th of 42
23rd of 42
17th of 42
37th of 42
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.