QB · HOU · #7
Played a short 2026 (1 games) — health is the nearer question than talent.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
5,842
Range 5,320–6,355
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
274.6 pts
16.2 PPG · 15.1 games
4084.2 pass yds · 24.8 pass TD · 267.4 rush yds
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Stroud threw for 274 yards and 2 TDs in 2026, finishing QB16. Only 1 games in 2026 — availability is the headline. The 2026 projection still has him in every-week starter range. This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention C.J. Stroud.
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Half-PPR points
16.5
PPG
16.5
Positional finish
QB16
Key stats
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | QB16 | 16.5 | 16.5 | 274 | 2 | 15 | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | QB21 | 208.5 | 14.9 | 3041 | 19 | 209 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB18 | 220.4 | 13.0 | 3727 | 20 | 233 | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB9 | 275.5 | 18.4 | 4108 | 23 | 167 | 3 | 1 | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | 16.5 | BUF | 70 plays · 54% pass | 274 / 2 TD | 15 | 0 |
Week 1 Engine grade
Projected 18.3 · scored 16.5 half-PPR · inside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +1.8.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 91.2% mean
Pass-play participation
92.4%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (2 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
22nd of 42
36th of 42
18th of 42
22nd of 42
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.