WR · HOU · #12
Played a short 2026 (1 games) — health is the nearer question than talent.
Picked by the Texans in 2021 via a trade with the Panthers.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
7,249
Range 6,546–7,860
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
244.1 pts
14.4 PPG · 15.5 games
93.5 rec · 1384.4 rec yds · 8.9 rec TD
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Collins caught 7 passes for 75 yards in 2026, finishing WR9. Played a short 2026 (1 games) — health is the nearer question than talent. Into 2026, the projection still expects starter production. This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Nico Collins.
Half-PPR points
17.7
PPG
17.7
Positional finish
WR9
Key stats
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | WR9 | 17.7 | 17.7 | 7 | 75 | 1 | 7 | — | — | — |
| 2025 | WR9 | 190.7 | 12.7 | 71 | 1117 | 6 | 15 | 1 | — | — |
| 2024 | WR22 | 176.6 | 14.7 | 68 | 1006 | 7 | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | WR9 | 220.4 | 14.7 | 80 | 1297 | 8 | 7 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | WR78 | 78.6 | 7.9 | 37 | 481 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | WR87 | 67.1 | 4.8 | 33 | 446 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | 17.7 | BUF | 70 plays · 54% pass | 75 / 1 TD · 7 rec | 7 | 0 |
Week 1 Engine grade
Projected 15.8 · scored 17.7 half-PPR · inside the floor–ceiling band. Miss -1.9.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 77.2% mean
Pass-play participation
83.2%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R3 (89 overall) WR · that slot hit at 18.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=64; contributor 34.4%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
74th of 85
84th of 85
8th of 85
13th of 85
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.