WR · NYJ · #17
Tim Patrick
- Height
- HT 6'5"
- Weight
- WT 212 lbs
- Birth date
- Nov 23, 1993 (age 32.8)
- College
- Utah; Grossmont
Recent form cooled from WR83 to WR104 — watch whether that's noise or a real step down; the downside gets steeper at 32.8.
Traded from DET to JAX (Aug 27, 2025).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
107
Range 19–179
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Depth/upside bet — WR role isn't locked starter volume yet.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
19.8 pts
1.2 PPG · 7.0 games
8.4 rec · 100.7 rec yds · 0.8 rec TD
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×1.01
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Quick answer
WatchPatrick caught 15 passes for 187 yards in 2025, finishing WR104. Recent form cooled from WR83 to WR104 — watch whether that's noise or a real step down. He's 33 — older WRs usually lose work and upside. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
2025 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
44.2
PPG
3.4
Positional finish
WR104
Key stats
- Rec: 15 (WR118)
- Rec yds: 187 (WR122)
- Rec TD: 3 (WR53)
2025: 3.4 PPG actual vs 3.3 expected from usage (13 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 3%.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | WR104 | 44.2 | 3.4 | 15 | 187 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR83 | 75.9 | 5.1 | 33 | 394 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | WR40 | 129.9 | 8.1 | 53 | 734 | 5 | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | WR41 | 135.7 | 9.0 | 51 | 742 | 6 | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | WR127 | 29.8 | 3.7 | 16 | 218 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | WR107 | 48.7 | 4.1 | 23 | 315 | 1 | 17 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2025)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 0.9 | TEN | 56 plays · 57% pass | 4 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 0.0 | IND | 66 plays · 56% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 1.6 | DEN | 63 plays · 57% pass | 11 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 16.3 | IND | 63 plays · 49% pass | 78 / 1 TD · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 1.6 | TEN | 54 plays · 50% pass | 11 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 0.0 | ARI | 58 plays · 52% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 9.5 | LAC | 69 plays · 32% pass | 20 / 1 TD · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W7 | 2.7 | LA | 67 plays · 72% pass | 22 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W6 | 9.1 | SEA | 61 plays · 69% pass | 26 / 1 TD · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W5 | 0.0 | KC | 51 plays · 49% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
- TEN+10% · 248 pass yards
- IND+17% · 263 pass yards
- DEN-6% · 212 pass yards
- ARI+8% · 243 pass yards
- LAC-13% · 195 pass yards
- LA+4% · 235 pass yards
- SEA-5% · 213 pass yards
- KC-9% · 205 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 31.8% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
26.5%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Broken tackles
- 1
- Avg depth of target
- 10.8
- Drop %
- 8.3%
Durability
- 2023—
- 202415 G
- 202513 G · 1 Out
- 7.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.
Undrafted WR — this pack does not score UDFA hit rates.
Next Gen Stats
No Next Gen Stats for this player yet.
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Tim Patrick's dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Patrick scores 107 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Tim Patrick's 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 1.2 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Tim Patrick in dynasty right now?
- Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.