Nick Chubb headshot

RB · FA · #21

Nick Chubb

Height
HT 5'11"
Weight
WT 227 lbs
Birth date
Dec 27, 1995 (age 30.7)
College
Georgia

Played a short 2024 (8 games) — health is the nearer question than talent; the downside gets steeper at 30.7.

Picked by the Browns in 2018 via a trade with the Texans.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

171

Range 99242

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Depth/upside bet — RB role isn't locked starter volume yet.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

21.9 pts

1.3 PPG · 7.0 games

127.3 rush yds · 3.3 rec · 16.9 rec yds

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Durability ×0.92

    2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.

  • Process ×1.01

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

  • Org environment ×1.01

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Hold

Chubb ran for 506 yards and caught 13 passes in 2025, finishing RB54. He scored about 11% less than his touches said he should. RB year-to-year rank has been jumpy; don't buy one season as destiny. Only 8 games in 2024 — availability is the headline. This is a hold, not a sell or a buy — the swings mean the price should already reflect the risk.

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

81.8

PPG

5.5

Positional finish

RB54

Key stats

  • Rush yds: 506 (RB43)
  • Rec: 13 (RB61)

2025: 5.5 PPG actual vs 6.2 expected from usage (15 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 11%.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRush ydRush TDRecRec ydRec TDPass ydPass TD
2025RB5481.85.550631367
2024RB5960.87.633235311
2023RB8921.110.6170421
2022RB5267.915.8152512272391
2021RB11205.314.712598201741
2020RB9199.716.610671216150
2019RB7237.214.81494836278
2018RB16184.511.59968201492

Career arc

01002003002018: 184.5 Half-PPR18520182019: 237.2 Half-PPR23720192020: 199.7 Half-PPR20020202021: 205.3 Half-PPR20520212022: 267.9 Half-PPR26820222023: 21.1 Half-PPR2120232024: 60.8 Half-PPR6120242025: 81.8 Half-PPR8220252026 projection: 21.9 Half-PPR222026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRushRecPass
2025 W170.1LAC62 plays · 45% pass100
2025 W164.7LV61 plays · 57% pass339 · 1 rec0
2025 W140.3KC62 plays · 50% pass300
2025 W139.4IND69 plays · 51% pass34 / 1 TD00
2025 W122.0BUF56 plays · 54% pass16-1 · 1 rec0
2025 W111.7TEN64 plays · 64% pass1700
2025 W105.7JAX67 plays · 67% pass475 · 1 rec0
2025 W93.4DEN68 plays · 59% pass3400
2025 W87.9SF75 plays · 52% pass5613 · 2 rec0
2025 W71.6SEA66 plays · 74% pass16-5 · 1 rec0

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpected
51015207891011121314151617Week

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Rush yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • LAC
    -10% · 105 rush yards
  • LV
    -0% · 117 rush yards
  • KC
    -10% · 106 rush yards
  • IND
    -13% · 102 rush yards
  • BUF
    +16% · 136 rush yards
  • TEN
    -2% · 115 rush yards
  • JAX
    -27% · 86 rush yards
  • DEN
    -22% · 91 rush yards
  • SF
    -8% · 108 rush yards
  • SEA
    -21% · 92 rush yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 32.2% mean

255075100W1W18

carry share

2550751007891011121314151617Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

30.7%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Yards after contact / att
2.1
Yards before contact / att
2.1
Broken tackles
5

Durability

  • 2023
    2 G
  • 2024
    8 G · 2 Out
  • 2025
    15 G
  • 7.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.

R2 (35 overall) RB · that slot hit at 56.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=37; contributor 70.3%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample

RYOE / att
0.54yd

23rd of 51

Efficiency
3.52

12th of 51

8+ in box
23.0%

31st of 51

Time to LOS
2.68s

12th of 51

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Nick Chubb's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Chubb scores 171 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Nick Chubb's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 1.3 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Nick Chubb in dynasty right now?
This is a hold, not a sell or a buy — the swings mean the price should already reflect the risk. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.