RB · FA · #21
Played a short 2024 (8 games) — health is the nearer question than talent; the downside gets steeper at 30.7.
Picked by the Browns in 2018 via a trade with the Texans.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
171
Range 99–242
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Depth/upside bet — RB role isn't locked starter volume yet.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
21.9 pts
1.3 PPG · 7.0 games
127.3 rush yds · 3.3 rec · 16.9 rec yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.92
2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Process ×1.01
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Chubb ran for 506 yards and caught 13 passes in 2025, finishing RB54. He scored about 11% less than his touches said he should. RB year-to-year rank has been jumpy; don't buy one season as destiny. Only 8 games in 2024 — availability is the headline. This is a hold, not a sell or a buy — the swings mean the price should already reflect the risk.
Half-PPR points
81.8
PPG
5.5
Positional finish
RB54
Key stats
2025: 5.5 PPG actual vs 6.2 expected from usage (15 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 11%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | RB54 | 81.8 | 5.5 | 506 | 3 | 13 | 67 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | RB59 | 60.8 | 7.6 | 332 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 1 | — | — |
| 2023 | RB89 | 21.1 | 10.6 | 170 | — | 4 | 21 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | RB5 | 267.9 | 15.8 | 1525 | 12 | 27 | 239 | 1 | — | — |
| 2021 | RB11 | 205.3 | 14.7 | 1259 | 8 | 20 | 174 | 1 | — | — |
| 2020 | RB9 | 199.7 | 16.6 | 1067 | 12 | 16 | 150 | — | — | — |
| 2019 | RB7 | 237.2 | 14.8 | 1494 | 8 | 36 | 278 | — | — | — |
| 2018 | RB16 | 184.5 | 11.5 | 996 | 8 | 20 | 149 | 2 | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rush | Rec | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W17 | 0.1 | LAC | 62 plays · 45% pass | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 4.7 | LV | 61 plays · 57% pass | 33 | 9 · 1 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 0.3 | KC | 62 plays · 50% pass | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 9.4 | IND | 69 plays · 51% pass | 34 / 1 TD | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 2.0 | BUF | 56 plays · 54% pass | 16 | -1 · 1 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 1.7 | TEN | 64 plays · 64% pass | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 5.7 | JAX | 67 plays · 67% pass | 47 | 5 · 1 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 3.4 | DEN | 68 plays · 59% pass | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 7.9 | SF | 75 plays · 52% pass | 56 | 13 · 2 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W7 | 1.6 | SEA | 66 plays · 74% pass | 16 | -5 · 1 rec | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Rush yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 32.2% mean
carry share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
30.7%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R2 (35 overall) RB · that slot hit at 56.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=37; contributor 70.3%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
23rd of 51
12th of 51
31st of 51
12th of 51
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.