WR · SF · #5
2025 stopped at 8 games; staying on the field is the swing factor.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
3,709
Range 3,316–3,896
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Elite WR production now; the age curve is already in the score.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
140.2 pts
8.2 PPG · 15.0 games
58 rec · 745.8 rec yds · 5.9 rec TD
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.95
2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Evans caught 30 passes for 368 yards in 2025, finishing WR76. He scored about 30% less than his touches said he should. WR9 slipped to WR76 last year; that's the warning. 2025 stopped at 8 games; staying on the field is the swing factor. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Mike Evans.
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Half-PPR points
69.8
PPG
8.7
Positional finish
WR76
Key stats
2025: 8.7 PPG actual vs 12.4 expected from usage (8 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 30%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | WR76 | 69.8 | 8.7 | 30 | 368 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR9 | 203.4 | 14.5 | 74 | 1004 | 11 | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | WR5 | 243.0 | 14.3 | 79 | 1255 | 13 | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | WR16 | 186.9 | 12.5 | 77 | 1124 | 6 | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | WR8 | 225.5 | 14.1 | 74 | 1035 | 14 | 10 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | WR10 | 213.6 | 13.4 | 70 | 1006 | 13 | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | WR12 | 199.2 | 15.3 | 67 | 1157 | 8 | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | WR8 | 241.4 | 15.1 | 86 | 1524 | 8 | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | WR17 | 167.6 | 11.2 | 71 | 1001 | 5 | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | WR2 | 256.1 | 16.0 | 96 | 1321 | 12 | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | WR23 | 173.6 | 11.6 | 74 | 1206 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | WR12 | 211.1 | 14.1 | 68 | 1051 | 12 | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 4.4 | CAR | 64 plays · 34% pass | 34 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 10.6 | MIA | 60 plays · 73% pass | 31 / 1 TD · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 11.6 | CAR | 59 plays · 44% pass | 31 / 1 TD · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 16.2 | ATL | 56 plays · 61% pass | 132 · 6 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W7 | 0.0 | DET | 62 plays · 81% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W3 | 11.3 | NYJ | 63 plays · 46% pass | 33 / 1 TD · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W2 | 8.1 | HOU | 68 plays · 56% pass | 56 · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W1 | 7.6 | ATL | 55 plays · 58% pass | 51 · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 65.6% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
70.8%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (7 overall) WR · that slot hit at 60.0% in 2010–2023 classes (n=55; contributor 72.7%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
84th of 85
76th of 85
82nd of 85
52nd of 85
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.