Josh Palmer headshot

WR · BUF · #5

Josh Palmer

Height
HT 6'1"
Weight
WT 210 lbs
Birth date
Sep 22, 1999 (age 26.9)
College
Tennessee

WR76 slipped to WR108 last year; that's the warning.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

0

Range 147280

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Depth/upside bet — WR role isn't locked starter volume yet.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

32.6 pts

1.9 PPG · 7.0 games

13.5 rec · 201.8 rec yds · 0.7 rec TD

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Durability ×0.98

    2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games — slight availability risk, not a short 2026 slate.

  • Process ×1.01

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

  • Org environment ×0.99

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Watch

Palmer caught 22 passes for 303 yards in 2025, finishing WR108. He scored about 28% less than his touches said he should. Production trend is soft: WR76 → WR108 over the last two seasons. The 2026 projection is thin — only roster him if you need the upside. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

41.3

PPG

3.4

Positional finish

WR108

Key stats

  • Rec: 22 (WR97)
  • Rec yds: 303 (WR90)
  • Rec TD:

2025: 3.4 PPG actual vs 4.7 expected from usage (12 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 28%.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRecRec ydRec TDRush ydRush TDPass ydPass TD
2025WR10841.33.422303
2024WR7687.95.9395841
2023WR6487.78.83858126
2022WR40133.38.37276934
2021WR7576.45.13335346

Career arc

0501001502021: 76.4 Half-PPR7620212022: 133.3 Half-PPR13320222023: 87.7 Half-PPR8820232024: 87.9 Half-PPR8820242025: 41.3 Half-PPR4120252026 projection: 32.6 Half-PPR332026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRecRushPass
2025 W180.6NYJ72 plays · 40% pass1 · 1 rec00
2025 W171.7PHI68 plays · 52% pass12 · 1 rec00
2025 W160.7CLE48 plays · 40% pass2 · 1 rec00
2025 W152.1NE65 plays · 43% pass16 · 1 rec00
2025 W123.1HOU58 plays · 59% pass21 · 2 rec00
2025 W112.7TB53 plays · 57% pass17 · 2 rec00
2025 W67.0ATL50 plays · 52% pass60 · 2 rec00
2025 W54.6NE60 plays · 52% pass36 · 2 rec00
2025 W43.5NO54 plays · 41% pass25 · 2 rec00
2025 W31.0MIA55 plays · 51% pass5 · 1 rec00

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpected
510152035101518Week

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • NYJ
    +1% · 226 pass yards
  • PHI
    -9% · 205 pass yards
  • CLE
    -16% · 189 pass yards
  • NE
    -8% · 207 pass yards
  • HOU
    -9% · 205 pass yards
  • TB
    +13% · 255 pass yards
  • ATL
    -1% · 222 pass yards
  • NO
    -13% · 196 pass yards
  • MIA
    +3% · 231 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 48.3% mean

255075100W1W18

target share

25507510035101518Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

56.7%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles
0
Avg depth of target
11.5
Drop %
0.0%

Durability

  • 2023
    10 G · 3 Out
  • 2024
    15 G · 1 Out
  • 2025
    12 G · 2 Out
  • 7.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.

R3 (77 overall) WR · that slot hit at 18.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=64; contributor 34.4%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2024 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample

Separation
2.56yd

79th of 97

Cushion
6.61yd

19th of 97

YAC above expected
0.14yd

68th of 97

Air yards share
23.4%

45th of 97

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Josh Palmer's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Palmer scores 0 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Josh Palmer's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 1.9 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Josh Palmer in dynasty right now?
Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.