Josh Oliver headshot

TE · MIN · #84

Josh Oliver

Height
HT 6'5"
Weight
WT 250 lbs
Birth date
Mar 21, 1997 (age 29.4)
College
San Jose State

TE37 slipped to TE48 last year; that's the warning.

Traded from LV to BAL (Mar 18, 2021).

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

598

Range 577618

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Proven TE in his prime — production and runway both hold.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

31.2 pts

1.8 PPG · 10.0 games

13.7 rec · 161.2 rec yds · 1.4 rec TD

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Durability ×0.98

    3 of last 3 seasons under 15 games — slight availability risk, not a short 2026 slate.

  • Process ×1.03

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

  • Org environment ×0.99

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Watch

Oliver caught 15 passes for 160 yards in 2025, finishing TE48. He scored 82% more than his touches said he should. TE37 slipped to TE48 last year; that's the warning. The 2026 projection is thin — only roster him if you need the upside. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.

NextDyne coverage

Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Josh Oliver.

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

47.5

PPG

4.0

Positional finish

TE48

Key stats

  • Rec: 15 (TE57)
  • Rec yds: 160 (TE59)
  • Rec TD: 4 (TE19)

2025: 4.0 PPG actual vs 2.2 expected from usage (12 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 82%.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRecRec ydRec TDRush ydRush TDPass ydPass TD
2025TE4847.54.0151604
2024TE3754.84.6222583
2023TE4442.33.3222132
2022TE5233.92.8141492
2021TE8411.11.0966
2019TE1053.01.0315

Career arc

02040602019: 3.0 Half-PPR320192021: 11.1 Half-PPR1120212022: 33.9 Half-PPR3420222023: 42.3 Half-PPR4220232024: 54.8 Half-PPR5520242025: 47.5 Half-PPR4820252026 projection: 31.2 Half-PPR312026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRecRushPass
2025 W183.9GB62 plays · 50% pass29 · 2 rec00
2025 W171.3DET44 plays · 36% pass8 · 1 rec00
2025 W162.9NYG54 plays · 43% pass19 · 2 rec00
2025 W152.3DAL52 plays · 46% pass18 · 1 rec00
2025 W1415.4WAS57 plays · 40% pass24 / 2 TD · 2 rec00
2025 W120.9GB39 plays · 49% pass4 · 1 rec00
2025 W110.2CHI54 plays · 59% pass-3 · 1 rec00
2025 W71.4PHI65 plays · 65% pass9 · 1 rec00
2025 W510.5CLE58 plays · 60% pass35 / 1 TD · 2 rec00
2025 W40.0PIT66 plays · 70% pass000

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpected
510152045101518Week

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • GB
    -8% · 207 pass yards
  • DET
    +5% · 237 pass yards
  • NYG
    +2% · 230 pass yards
  • DAL
    +18% · 266 pass yards
  • WAS
    +14% · 257 pass yards
  • CHI
    +6% · 239 pass yards
  • PHI
    -9% · 205 pass yards
  • CLE
    -16% · 189 pass yards
  • PIT
    +16% · 261 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 45.8% mean

255075100W1W18

target share

25507510045101518Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

34.1%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles
0
Avg depth of target
3.4
Drop %
0.0%

Durability

  • 2023
    13 G
  • 2024
    12 G · 2 Out
  • 2025
    12 G · 2 Out
  • 10.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.

R3 (69 overall) TE · that slot hit at 22.2% in 2010–2023 classes (n=36; contributor 41.7%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

No Next Gen Stats for this player yet.

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Josh Oliver's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Oliver scores 598 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Josh Oliver's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 1.8 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Josh Oliver in dynasty right now?
Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.