TE · MIN · #84
TE37 slipped to TE48 last year; that's the warning.
Traded from LV to BAL (Mar 18, 2021).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
598
Range 577–618
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven TE in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
31.2 pts
1.8 PPG · 10.0 games
13.7 rec · 161.2 rec yds · 1.4 rec TD
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
3 of last 3 seasons under 15 games — slight availability risk, not a short 2026 slate.
Process ×1.03
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Oliver caught 15 passes for 160 yards in 2025, finishing TE48. He scored 82% more than his touches said he should. TE37 slipped to TE48 last year; that's the warning. The 2026 projection is thin — only roster him if you need the upside. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Josh Oliver.
Half-PPR points
47.5
PPG
4.0
Positional finish
TE48
Key stats
2025: 4.0 PPG actual vs 2.2 expected from usage (12 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 82%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | TE48 | 47.5 | 4.0 | 15 | 160 | 4 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | TE37 | 54.8 | 4.6 | 22 | 258 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | TE44 | 42.3 | 3.3 | 22 | 213 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | TE52 | 33.9 | 2.8 | 14 | 149 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | TE84 | 11.1 | 1.0 | 9 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | TE105 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 3.9 | GB | 62 plays · 50% pass | 29 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 1.3 | DET | 44 plays · 36% pass | 8 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 2.9 | NYG | 54 plays · 43% pass | 19 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 2.3 | DAL | 52 plays · 46% pass | 18 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 15.4 | WAS | 57 plays · 40% pass | 24 / 2 TD · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 0.9 | GB | 39 plays · 49% pass | 4 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 0.2 | CHI | 54 plays · 59% pass | -3 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W7 | 1.4 | PHI | 65 plays · 65% pass | 9 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W5 | 10.5 | CLE | 58 plays · 60% pass | 35 / 1 TD · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W4 | 0.0 | PIT | 66 plays · 70% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 45.8% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
34.1%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R3 (69 overall) TE · that slot hit at 22.2% in 2010–2023 classes (n=36; contributor 41.7%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
No Next Gen Stats for this player yet.
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.