John Metchie III headshot

WR · CAR · #13

John Metchie III

Height
HT 6'0"
Weight
WT 195 lbs
Birth date
Jul 18, 2000 (age 26.1)
College
Alabama

The last two seasons moved from WR111 to WR90 — that's the dynasty read; 2024 also ended early (10 games).

Traded from PHI to NYJ (Oct 29, 2025).

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

241

Range 76224

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Depth/upside bet — WR role isn't locked starter volume yet.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

24.4 pts

1.4 PPG · 7.0 games

12.9 rec · 136.8 rec yds · 0.7 rec TD

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Durability ×0.98

    3 of last 3 seasons under 15 games — slight availability risk, not a short 2026 slate.

  • Process ×0.99

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

  • Org environment ×0.99

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Buy

Metchie caught 33 passes for 274 yards in 2025, finishing WR90. Finish path matters here: WR111 → WR90 is a breakout, not a development pitch. Played a short 2024 (10 games) — health is the nearer question than talent. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

55.4

PPG

4.3

Positional finish

WR90

Key stats

  • Rec: 33 (WR69)
  • Rec yds: 274 (WR100)
  • Rec TD: 2 (WR70)

2025: 4.3 PPG actual vs 4.4 expected from usage (12 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 2%.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRecRec ydRec TDRush ydRush TDPass ydPass TD
2025WR9055.44.3332742-5
2024WR11143.44.3242541
2023WR13524.21.7161584

Career arc

02040602023: 24.2 Half-PPR2420232024: 43.4 Half-PPR4320242025: 55.4 Half-PPR5520252026 projection: 24.4 Half-PPR242026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRecRushPass
2025 W183.5BUF45 plays · 49% pass20 · 3 rec00
2025 W175.6NE62 plays · 55% pass41 · 3 rec00
2025 W160.9NO55 plays · 64% pass4 · 1 rec00
2025 W154.9JAX65 plays · 51% pass25 · 4 rec40
2025 W145.4MIA51 plays · 67% pass34 · 4 rec00
2025 W133.7ATL61 plays · 54% pass19 · 4 rec-20
2025 W1215.5BAL54 plays · 52% pass65 / 1 TD · 6 rec00
2025 W1112.0NE55 plays · 49% pass45 / 1 TD · 3 rec00
2025 W100.1CLE44 plays · 25% pass3 · 1 rec-70
2025 W42.0TB56 plays · 43% pass10 · 2 rec00

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpected
510152045101518Week

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • BUF
    -24% · 170 pass yards
  • NE
    -8% · 207 pass yards
  • NO
    -13% · 196 pass yards
  • JAX
    +3% · 231 pass yards
  • MIA
    +3% · 231 pass yards
  • ATL
    -1% · 222 pass yards
  • BAL
    +15% · 259 pass yards
  • CLE
    -16% · 189 pass yards
  • TB
    +13% · 255 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 46.1% mean

255075100W1W18

target share

25507510045101518Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

47.2%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles
1
Avg depth of target
6.0
Drop %
6.8%

Durability

  • 2023
    14 G · 1 Out
  • 2024
    10 G · 1 Out
  • 2025
    13 G
  • 7.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.

R2 (44 overall) WR · that slot hit at 29.9% in 2010–2023 classes (n=67; contributor 58.2%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample

Separation
3.83yd

4th of 85

Cushion
7.00yd

7th of 85

YAC above expected
-0.87yd

84th of 85

Air yards share
7.7%

83rd of 85

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is John Metchie III's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Metchie scores 241 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is John Metchie III's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 1.4 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for John Metchie III in dynasty right now?
The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.