John Bates headshot

TE · WAS · #87

John Bates

Height
HT 6'6"
Weight
WT 256 lbs
Birth date
Nov 6, 1997 (age 28.8)
College
Boise State

2025 stopped at 10 games; staying on the field is the swing factor.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

410

Range 367453

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Proven TE in his prime — production and runway both hold.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

26.6 pts

1.6 PPG · 10.0 games

14.4 rec · 144.5 rec yds · 0.9 rec TD

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Durability ×0.98

    2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games — slight availability risk, not a short 2026 slate.

  • Process ×1.02

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

  • Org environment ×0.98

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Buy low

Bates caught 11 passes for 103 yards in 2025, finishing TE70. He scored about 8% less than his touches said he should. After a rough middle year (TE81), TE70 looks like a reset worth tracking. 2025 stopped at 10 games; staying on the field is the swing factor. That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery.

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

21.8

PPG

2.2

Positional finish

TE70

Key stats

  • Rec: 11 (TE68)
  • Rec yds: 103 (TE69)
  • Rec TD: 1 (TE50)

2025: 2.2 PPG actual vs 2.4 expected from usage (9 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 8%.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRecRec ydRec TDRush ydRush TDPass ydPass TD
2025TE7021.82.2111031
2024TE8110.40.8884
2023TE6124.61.619151
2022TE6623.82.6141081
2021TE5140.93.4202491

Career arc

010203040502021: 40.9 Half-PPR4120212022: 23.8 Half-PPR2420222023: 24.6 Half-PPR2520232024: 10.4 Half-PPR1020242025: 21.8 Half-PPR2220252026 projection: 26.6 Half-PPR272026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRecRushPass
2025 W188.3PHI63 plays · 35% pass13 / 1 TD · 2 rec00
2025 W160.0PHI49 plays · 47% pass000
2025 W152.4NYG56 plays · 34% pass19 · 1 rec00
2025 W140.0MIN47 plays · 51% pass000
2025 W131.9DEN83 plays · 60% pass9 · 2 rec00
2025 W101.1DET49 plays · 45% pass6 · 1 rec00
2025 W93.0SEA58 plays · 38% pass20 · 2 rec00
2025 W82.7KC50 plays · 60% pass22 · 1 rec00
2025 W71.0DAL60 plays · 53% pass5 · 1 rec00
2025 W51.4LAC54 plays · 48% pass9 · 1 rec00

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpected
51015205101518Week

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • PHI
    -9% · 205 pass yards
  • NYG
    +2% · 230 pass yards
  • MIN
    -21% · 178 pass yards
  • DEN
    -6% · 212 pass yards
  • DET
    +5% · 237 pass yards
  • SEA
    -5% · 213 pass yards
  • KC
    -9% · 205 pass yards
  • DAL
    +18% · 266 pass yards
  • LAC
    -13% · 195 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 51.4% mean

255075100W1W18

target share

2550751005101518Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

36.4%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles
0
Avg depth of target
3.0
Drop %
6.3%

Durability

  • 2023
    15 G
  • 2024
    13 G
  • 2025
    10 G · 2 Out
  • 10.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.

R4 (124 overall) TE · that slot hit at 13.9% in 2010–2023 classes (n=36; contributor 27.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

No Next Gen Stats for this player yet.

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is John Bates's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Bates scores 410 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is John Bates's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 1.6 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for John Bates in dynasty right now?
That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.