TE · FA · #83
2023 stopped at 10 games; staying on the field is the swing factor.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
3
Range 266–374
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven TE in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
38.1 pts
2.2 PPG · 10.5 games
23.8 rec · 196.4 rec yds · 1.4 rec TD
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Smith caught 18 passes for 115 yards in 2023, finishing TE61. He scored about 36% less than his touches said he should. Recent form cooled from TE46 to TE61 — watch whether that's noise or a real step down. 2023 stopped at 10 games; staying on the field is the swing factor. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Half-PPR points
24.5
PPG
2.5
Positional finish
TE61
Key stats
2023: 2.5 PPG actual vs 3.9 expected from usage (9 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 36%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | TE61 | 24.5 | 2.5 | 18 | 115 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | TE46 | 42.7 | 5.3 | 25 | 182 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | TE23 | 83.5 | 6.4 | 30 | 365 | 5 | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | TE36 | 61.1 | 4.4 | 36 | 311 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 W15 | 2.8 | MIN | 64 plays · 66% pass | 18 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 W13 | 0.0 | JAX | 70 plays · 56% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 W12 | 1.8 | PIT | 37 plays · 70% pass | 8 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 W11 | 0.0 | BAL | 54 plays · 57% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 W10 | 1.1 | HOU | 56 plays · 71% pass | 6 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 W9 | 10.1 | BUF | 66 plays · 67% pass | 26 / 1 TD · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 W8 | 2.5 | SF | 59 plays · 54% pass | 25 · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 W6 | 1.0 | SEA | 50 plays · 70% pass | 5 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 W2 | 2.0 | BAL | 56 plays · 73% pass | 10 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 W1 | 3.2 | CLE | 52 plays · 62% pass | 17 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2023, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2024 offense · 30.0% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
16.8%
2024· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2023)
Durability
R1 (20 overall) TE · that slot hit at 81.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=11; contributor 100.0%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
No Next Gen Stats for this player yet.
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.