Jalen Nailor headshot

WR · LV · #9

Jalen Nailor

Height
HT 5'11"
Weight
WT 191 lbs
Birth date
Mar 2, 1999 (age 27.5)
College
Michigan State

The last two seasons moved from WR75 to WR59 — that's the dynasty read.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

604

Range 639666

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

96.2 pts

5.7 PPG · 16.0 games

34.7 rec · 473.5 rec yds · 5.2 rec TD

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Process ×0.99

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

  • Org environment ×0.99

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Buy

Nailor caught 29 passes for 444 yards in 2025, finishing WR59. Finish path matters here: WR75 → WR59 is a breakout, not a development pitch. Don't pay for a bounce from the 2026 projection alone. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.

NextDyne coverage

Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Jalen Nailor.

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

88.2

PPG

5.2

Positional finish

WR59

Key stats

  • Rec: 29 (WR84)
  • Rec yds: 444 (WR63)
  • Rec TD: 4 (WR40)

2025: 5.2 PPG actual vs 5.1 expected from usage (17 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 2%.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRecRec ydRec TDRush ydRush TDPass ydPass TD
2025WR5988.25.229444413
2024WR7589.05.9284146-4
2023WR1824.41.5329
2022WR13128.43.691791

Career arc

0501001502022: 28.4 Half-PPR2820222023: 4.4 Half-PPR420232024: 89.0 Half-PPR8920242025: 88.2 Half-PPR8820252026 projection: 96.2 Half-PPR962026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRecRushPass
2025 W186.4GB62 plays · 50% pass49 · 3 rec00
2025 W170.0DET44 plays · 36% pass000
2025 W160.0NYG54 plays · 43% pass000
2025 W1518.0DAL52 plays · 46% pass47 / 2 TD · 3 rec-20
2025 W144.5WAS57 plays · 40% pass30 · 3 rec00
2025 W132.0SEA46 plays · 65% pass000
2025 W120.0GB39 plays · 49% pass000
2025 W112.1CHI54 plays · 59% pass16 · 1 rec00
2025 W1020.9BAL60 plays · 70% pass124 / 1 TD · 5 rec00
2025 W92.1DET54 plays · 46% pass16 · 1 rec00

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpected
5101520259101112131415161718Week

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • GB
    -8% · 207 pass yards
  • DET
    +5% · 237 pass yards
  • NYG
    +2% · 230 pass yards
  • DAL
    +18% · 266 pass yards
  • WAS
    +14% · 257 pass yards
  • SEA
    -5% · 213 pass yards
  • CHI
    +6% · 239 pass yards
  • BAL
    +15% · 259 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 65.4% mean

255075100W1W18

target share

2550751009101112131415161718Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

71.3%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles
2
Avg depth of target
12.5
Drop %
1.9%

Durability

  • 2023
    3 G · 4 Out
  • 2024
    15 G
  • 2025
    17 G
  • 16.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.

R6 (191 overall) WR · that slot hit at 1.3% in 2010–2023 classes (n=75; contributor 8.0%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample

Separation
2.43yd

66th of 85

Cushion
5.55yd

71st of 85

YAC above expected
1.38yd

10th of 85

Air yards share
18.1%

57th of 85

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Jalen Nailor's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Nailor scores 604 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Jalen Nailor's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 5.7 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Jalen Nailor in dynasty right now?
The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.