WR · LV · #9
The last two seasons moved from WR75 to WR59 — that's the dynasty read.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
604
Range 639–666
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
96.2 pts
5.7 PPG · 16.0 games
34.7 rec · 473.5 rec yds · 5.2 rec TD
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Nailor caught 29 passes for 444 yards in 2025, finishing WR59. Finish path matters here: WR75 → WR59 is a breakout, not a development pitch. Don't pay for a bounce from the 2026 projection alone. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Jalen Nailor.
Half-PPR points
88.2
PPG
5.2
Positional finish
WR59
Key stats
2025: 5.2 PPG actual vs 5.1 expected from usage (17 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 2%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | WR59 | 88.2 | 5.2 | 29 | 444 | 4 | 13 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR75 | 89.0 | 5.9 | 28 | 414 | 6 | -4 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | WR182 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | WR131 | 28.4 | 3.6 | 9 | 179 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 6.4 | GB | 62 plays · 50% pass | 49 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 0.0 | DET | 44 plays · 36% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 0.0 | NYG | 54 plays · 43% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 18.0 | DAL | 52 plays · 46% pass | 47 / 2 TD · 3 rec | -2 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 4.5 | WAS | 57 plays · 40% pass | 30 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 2.0 | SEA | 46 plays · 65% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 0.0 | GB | 39 plays · 49% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 2.1 | CHI | 54 plays · 59% pass | 16 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 20.9 | BAL | 60 plays · 70% pass | 124 / 1 TD · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 2.1 | DET | 54 plays · 46% pass | 16 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 65.4% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
71.3%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R6 (191 overall) WR · that slot hit at 1.3% in 2010–2023 classes (n=75; contributor 8.0%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
66th of 85
71st of 85
10th of 85
57th of 85
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.