RB · SEA · #27
RB year-to-year rank has been jumpy; don't buy one season as destiny.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
0
Range 133–269
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Depth/upside bet — RB role isn't locked starter volume yet.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
28.9 pts
1.7 PPG · 7.0 games
156.4 rush yds · 4.7 rec · 31.2 rec yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×1.02
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Wilson ran for 496 yards and caught 15 passes in 2025, finishing RB49. He scored about 14% less than his touches said he should. Finishes have swung hard (RB49 → RB45 → RB101) — volatility is the story. Don't pay for a bounce from the 2026 projection alone. This is a hold, not a sell or a buy — the swings mean the price should already reflect the risk.
Half-PPR points
87.0
PPG
5.1
Positional finish
RB49
Key stats
2025: 5.1 PPG actual vs 5.9 expected from usage (16 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 14%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | RB49 | 87.0 | 5.1 | 496 | 3 | 15 | 99 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | RB45 | 90.5 | 5.3 | 502 | 4 | 11 | 48 | 1 | — | — |
| 2023 | RB101 | 12.8 | 2.6 | 85 | — | 4 | 23 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rush | Rec | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 5.3 | MIN | 46 plays · 24% pass | 44 | 4 · 1 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 2.9 | BAL | 42 plays · 60% pass | 16 | 8 · 1 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 8.2 | CHI | 68 plays · 35% pass | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 0.3 | DEN | 60 plays · 67% pass | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 1.0 | CHI | 51 plays · 49% pass | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 1.4 | DET | 60 plays · 50% pass | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 25.5 | MIN | 64 plays · 34% pass | 107 / 2 TD | 18 · 2 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 13.4 | NYG | 49 plays · 53% pass | 40 / 1 TD | 9 · 1 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 0.9 | PHI | 63 plays · 57% pass | 2 | 2 · 1 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 2.2 | CAR | 62 plays · 60% pass | 16 | 1 · 1 rec | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Rush yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 31.1% mean
carry share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
29.5%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
Undrafted RB — this pack does not score UDFA hit rates.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
43rd of 51
29th of 51
19th of 51
3rd of 51
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.