WR · NE · #3
Production trend is soft: WR52 → WR65 over the last two seasons.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
205
Range 399–478
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Depth/upside bet — WR role isn't locked starter volume yet.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
86.5 pts
5.1 PPG · 15.7 games
48.5 rec · 456.6 rec yds · 2.6 rec TD
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Douglas caught 31 passes for 447 yards in 2025, finishing WR65. He scored 11% more than his touches said he should. Recent form cooled from WR52 to WR65 — watch whether that's noise or a real step down. The 2026 projection is cautious — wait for a real role change before paying up. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Half-PPR points
80.3
PPG
5.0
Positional finish
WR65
Key stats
2025: 5.0 PPG actual vs 4.5 expected from usage (16 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 11%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | WR65 | 80.3 | 5.0 | 31 | 447 | 3 | 21 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR52 | 114.7 | 7.2 | 66 | 621 | 3 | 16 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | WR68 | 82.7 | 5.9 | 49 | 561 | — | 41 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 3.9 | MIA | 56 plays · 39% pass | 29 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 1.5 | NYJ | 61 plays · 41% pass | 10 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 1.1 | BAL | 67 plays · 66% pass | 6 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 0.5 | BUF | 48 plays · 48% pass | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 4.8 | NYG | 60 plays · 52% pass | 33 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 5.6 | CIN | 66 plays · 53% pass | 37 · 1 rec | 14 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 4.6 | NYJ | 61 plays · 56% pass | 36 · 3 rec | -5 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 4.4 | TB | 58 plays · 53% pass | 34 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 18.0 | ATL | 62 plays · 47% pass | 100 / 1 TD · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 5.2 | CLE | 59 plays · 41% pass | 44 · 1 rec | 3 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 25.9% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
39.3%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R6 (210 overall) WR · that slot hit at 1.3% in 2010–2023 classes (n=75; contributor 8.0%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
3rd of 85
18th of 85
21st of 85
74th of 85
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.