TE · BUF · #88
Dawson Knox
- Height
- HT 6'4"
- Weight
- WT 254 lbs
- Birth date
- Nov 14, 1996 (age 29.8)
- College
- Mississippi
Coming off a real climb — TE40 to TE28 tells the story better than age.
Picked by the Bills in 2019 via a trade with the Commanders.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
688
Range 679–698
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven TE in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
48.3 pts
2.8 PPG · 10.0 games
22.8 rec · 253 rec yds · 1.8 rec TD
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games — slight availability risk, not a short 2026 slate.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Quick answer
BuyKnox caught 36 passes for 417 yards in 2025, finishing TE28. He scored 8% more than his touches said he should. Coming off a real climb — TE40 to TE28 tells the story better than age. The 2026 projection is thin — only roster him if you need the upside. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.
2025 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
85.7
PPG
5.4
Positional finish
TE28
Key stats
- Rec: 36 (TE31)
- Rec yds: 417 (TE28)
- Rec TD: 4 (TE19)
2025: 5.4 PPG actual vs 5.0 expected from usage (16 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 8%.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | TE28 | 85.7 | 5.4 | 36 | 417 | 4 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | TE40 | 48.1 | 3.4 | 22 | 311 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | TE41 | 43.6 | 4.4 | 22 | 186 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | TE14 | 111.7 | 7.4 | 48 | 517 | 6 | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | TE8 | 139.6 | 9.3 | 49 | 587 | 9 | 4 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | TE38 | 54.8 | 5.0 | 24 | 288 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | TE31 | 65.7 | 4.4 | 28 | 388 | 2 | 9 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2025)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 9.4 | NYJ | 72 plays · 40% pass | 24 / 1 TD · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 5.5 | PHI | 68 plays · 52% pass | 30 · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 1.5 | CLE | 48 plays · 40% pass | 10 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 17.2 | NE | 65 plays · 43% pass | 37 / 2 TD · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 14.3 | CIN | 57 plays · 49% pass | 93 · 6 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 4.3 | PIT | 74 plays · 31% pass | 28 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 3.2 | HOU | 58 plays · 59% pass | 17 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 2.8 | TB | 53 plays · 57% pass | 23 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 5.2 | MIA | 62 plays · 65% pass | 37 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 3.5 | KC | 61 plays · 43% pass | 30 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
- NYJ+1% · 226 pass yards
- PHI-9% · 205 pass yards
- CLE-16% · 189 pass yards
- NE-8% · 207 pass yards
- CIN+9% · 246 pass yards
- PIT+16% · 261 pass yards
- HOU-9% · 205 pass yards
- TB+13% · 255 pass yards
- MIA+3% · 231 pass yards
- KC-9% · 205 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 58.3% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
54.4%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Broken tackles
- 0
- Avg depth of target
- 6.7
- Drop %
- 4.1%
Durability
- 202310 G · 1 Out
- 202414 G
- 202516 G
- 10.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.
R3 (96 overall) TE · that slot hit at 22.2% in 2010–2023 classes (n=36; contributor 41.7%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
Next Gen Stats
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
- Separation
- 3.64yd
- Cushion
- 5.32yd
- YAC above expected
- 0.28yd
- Air yards share
- 10.0%
11th of 35
30th of 35
18th of 35
20th of 35
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Dawson Knox's dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Knox scores 688 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Dawson Knox's 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 2.8 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Dawson Knox in dynasty right now?
- The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.