QB · HOU · #10
Davis Mills
- Height
- HT 6'4"
- Weight
- WT 225 lbs
- Birth date
- Oct 21, 1998 (age 27.9)
- College
- Stanford
Coming off a real climb — QB61 to QB41 tells the story better than age; 2025 also ended early (6 games).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
0
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
17.1 pts
1.0 PPG · 6.0 games
235.9 pass yds · 1.4 pass TD · 16.9 rush yds
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.95
3 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Quick answer
BuyMills threw for 915 yards and 5 TDs in 2025, finishing QB41. He scored about 14% less than his touches said he should. Finish path matters here: QB61 → QB41 is a breakout, not a development pitch. Played a short 2025 (6 games) — health is the nearer question than talent. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.
2025 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
68.6
PPG
11.4
Positional finish
QB41
Key stats
- Pass yds: 915 (QB41)
- Pass TD: 5 (QB42)
2025: 11.4 PPG actual vs 13.2 expected from usage (6 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 14%.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB41 | 68.6 | 11.4 | 915 | 5 | 60 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB61 | 9.6 | 2.4 | 212 | — | 11 | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB59 | 17.8 | 3.6 | 173 | 2 | 9 | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB21 | 181.5 | 12.1 | 3118 | 17 | 108 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB29 | 157.0 | 12.1 | 2664 | 16 | 44 | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2025)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 2.6 | IND | 64 plays · 50% pass | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 14.5 | BUF | 56 plays · 54% pass | 153 / 2 TD | 4 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 16.4 | TEN | 64 plays · 64% pass | 274 / 1 TD | 14 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 27.7 | JAX | 67 plays · 67% pass | 292 / 2 TD | 20 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 6.2 | DEN | 68 plays · 59% pass | 137 | 7 | 0 |
| 2025 W5 | 1.2 | BAL | 64 plays · 48% pass | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
- IND+17% · 263 pass yards
- BUF-24% · 170 pass yards
- TEN+10% · 248 pass yards
- JAX+3% · 231 pass yards
- DEN-6% · 212 pass yards
- BAL+15% · 259 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 70.5% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
72.2%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Pressure rate
- 16.0%
- On-target throw %
- 70.6%
- Avg time in pocket
- 2.2s
Durability
- 20235 G
- 20244 G
- 20256 G
- 6.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.
R3 (67 overall) QB · that slot hit at 10.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=19; contributor 10.5%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
Next Gen Stats
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
- Time to throw
- 2.56s
- Aggressiveness
- 20.8%
- CPOE
- -2.9pp
- Air yds to sticks
- -0.1yd
1st of 42
1st of 42
33rd of 42
9th of 42
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Davis Mills's dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Mills scores 0 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Davis Mills's 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 1.0 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Davis Mills in dynasty right now?
- The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.