QB · DAL · #4
Dak Prescott
- Height
- HT 6'2"
- Weight
- WT 238 lbs
- Birth date
- Jul 29, 1993 (age 33.1)
- College
- Mississippi State
Played a short 2024 (8 games) — health is the nearer question than talent.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
6,001
Range 5,462–6,530
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
302.7 pts
17.8 PPG · 15.0 games
4420.8 pass yds · 28.4 pass TD · 212.4 rush yds
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.02
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Quick answer
Buy lowPrescott threw for 4,552 yards and 30 TDs in 2025, finishing QB6. He scored about 11% less than his touches said he should. Path runs QB3 → QB32 → QB6 — a bounce-back, not a blank slate. Only 8 games in 2024 — availability is the headline. That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery.
NextDyne coverage
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Dak Prescott.
- StrategyNextDyne
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Is CeeDee Lamb Still a True WR1 After a Down Year?
Lamb played through a high ankle sprain for most of 2025 and still finished 2nd in deep receiving yards. NextDyne's model still has him as the WR1 for 2026.
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Is Bo Nix Undervalued in Dynasty? The Case for a Healthy, Well-Supported QB2
Bo Nix was a top-5 projected scorer sitting 16th in dynasty value. The latest board closed that gap — here is what changed, and what still matters.
2025 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
313.8
PPG
18.5
Positional finish
QB6
Key stats
- Pass yds: 4552 (QB3)
- Pass TD: 30 (QB4)
2025: 18.5 PPG actual vs 20.7 expected from usage (17 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 11%.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB6 | 313.8 | 18.5 | 4552 | 30 | 177 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB32 | 116.5 | 14.6 | 1978 | 11 | 54 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB3 | 342.8 | 20.2 | 4516 | 36 | 242 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB19 | 198.6 | 16.6 | 2860 | 23 | 182 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB7 | 320.6 | 20.0 | 4449 | 37 | 146 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | QB31 | 135.1 | 27.0 | 1856 | 9 | 93 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 1 |
| 2019 | QB2 | 337.8 | 21.1 | 4902 | 30 | 277 | 3 | — | — | — |
| 2018 | QB10 | 285.9 | 17.9 | 3885 | 22 | 305 | 6 | — | — | — |
| 2017 | QB11 | 260.7 | 16.3 | 3324 | 22 | 357 | 6 | — | — | — |
| 2016 | QB6 | 286.9 | 17.9 | 3667 | 23 | 282 | 6 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2025)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 0.7 | NYG | 54 plays · 44% pass | 70 | -1 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 22.7 | WAS | 81 plays · 46% pass | 307 / 2 TD | 24 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 19.2 | LAC | 55 plays · 58% pass | 244 / 2 TD | 14 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 12.0 | MIN | 67 plays · 57% pass | 294 | 2 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 18.4 | DET | 71 plays · 66% pass | 376 / 1 TD | 14 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 20.6 | KC | 65 plays · 60% pass | 320 / 2 TD | -2 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 27.1 | PHI | 67 plays · 54% pass | 354 / 2 TD | 9 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 24.3 | LV | 64 plays · 52% pass | 268 / 4 TD | -4 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 15.4 | ARI | 60 plays · 65% pass | 250 / 1 TD | 34 | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 6.6 | DEN | 66 plays · 53% pass | 188 | 31 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
- NYG+2% · 230 pass yards
- WAS+14% · 257 pass yards
- LAC-13% · 195 pass yards
- MIN-21% · 178 pass yards
- DET+5% · 237 pass yards
- KC-9% · 205 pass yards
- PHI-9% · 205 pass yards
- LV-5% · 214 pass yards
- ARI+8% · 243 pass yards
- DEN-6% · 212 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 95.1% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
96.0%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Pressure rate
- 21.6%
- On-target throw %
- 74.8%
- Avg time in pocket
- 2.4s
Durability
- 202317 G
- 20248 G · 2 Out
- 202517 G
- 15.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.
R4 (135 overall) QB · that slot hit at 4.3% in 2010–2023 classes (n=23; contributor 4.3%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
Next Gen Stats
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
- Time to throw
- 2.82s
- Aggressiveness
- 19.7%
- CPOE
- 4.4pp
- Air yds to sticks
- -0.2yd
21st of 42
3rd of 42
3rd of 42
11th of 42
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Dak Prescott's dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Prescott scores 6,001 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Dak Prescott's 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 17.8 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Dak Prescott in dynasty right now?
- That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.