WR · DEN · #14
The arc is recovery: WR35, then WR13, now WR11.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
4,796
Range 4,322–5,130
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Elite WR production now; the age curve is already in the score.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
195.7 pts
11.5 PPG · 16.1 games
79.1 rec · 1046.7 rec yds · 7.7 rec TD
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.02
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Sutton caught 74 passes for 1,017 yards in 2025, finishing WR11. The arc is recovery: WR35, then WR13, now WR11. Looking at 2026, he's a situational piece unless the role grows. That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Courtland Sutton.
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Half-PPR points
182.7
PPG
10.7
Positional finish
WR11
Key stats
2025: 10.7 PPG actual vs 10.7 expected from usage (17 REG weeks, half-PPR).
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | WR11 | 182.7 | 10.7 | 74 | 1017 | 7 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR13 | 199.8 | 12.5 | 81 | 1081 | 8 | — | — | 30 | 1 |
| 2023 | WR35 | 160.7 | 10.0 | 59 | 772 | 10 | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | WR43 | 127.4 | 8.5 | 64 | 829 | 2 | 5 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | WR46 | 121.2 | 7.1 | 58 | 776 | 2 | — | — | 16 | — |
| 2020 | WR179 | 8.1 | 8.1 | 3 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | WR19 | 186.4 | 11.7 | 72 | 1112 | 6 | 17 | — | 38 | — |
| 2018 | WR51 | 115.3 | 7.2 | 42 | 704 | 4 | -1 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 1.0 | LAC | 54 plays · 43% pass | 5 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 6.0 | KC | 70 plays · 54% pass | 40 · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 17.6 | JAX | 64 plays · 73% pass | 86 / 1 TD · 6 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 20.8 | GB | 65 plays · 52% pass | 113 / 1 TD · 7 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 9.2 | LV | 69 plays · 55% pass | 62 · 6 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 14.7 | WAS | 68 plays · 66% pass | 62 / 1 TD · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 7.9 | KC | 59 plays · 64% pass | 59 · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 3.9 | LV | 55 plays · 51% pass | 24 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 9.5 | HOU | 60 plays · 62% pass | 30 / 1 TD · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 8.7 | DAL | 57 plays · 51% pass | 67 · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 85.4% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
92.0%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R2 (40 overall) WR · that slot hit at 29.9% in 2010–2023 classes (n=67; contributor 58.2%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
76th of 85
77th of 85
59th of 85
9th of 85
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.