WR · SF · #3
Christian Kirk
- Height
- HT 5'11"
- Weight
- WT 200 lbs
- Birth date
- Nov 18, 1996 (age 29.8)
- College
- Texas A&M
Only 11 games in 2025 — availability is the headline.
Traded from JAX to HOU (Mar 6, 2025).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
235
Range 100–243
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Depth/upside bet — WR role isn't locked starter volume yet.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
21.6 pts
1.3 PPG · 7.0 games
13.2 rec · 113 rec yds · 0.6 rec TD
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.95
3 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Quick answer
WatchKirk caught 28 passes for 239 yards in 2025, finishing WR106. He scored about 33% less than his touches said he should. Production trend is soft: WR95 → WR106 over the last two seasons. 2025 stopped at 11 games; staying on the field is the swing factor. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
2025 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
43.9
PPG
4.0
Positional finish
WR106
Key stats
- Rec: 28 (WR88)
- Rec yds: 239 (WR106)
- Rec TD: 1 (WR95)
2025: 4.0 PPG actual vs 6.0 expected from usage (11 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 33%.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | WR106 | 43.9 | 4.0 | 28 | 239 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR95 | 57.4 | 7.2 | 27 | 379 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | WR47 | 121.8 | 10.2 | 57 | 787 | 3 | 6 | — | -1 | — |
| 2022 | WR11 | 199.9 | 11.8 | 84 | 1108 | 8 | 11 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | WR26 | 169.1 | 9.9 | 77 | 982 | 5 | 11 | — | 33 | — |
| 2020 | WR49 | 122.4 | 8.7 | 48 | 621 | 6 | 3 | — | — | — |
| 2019 | WR40 | 134.2 | 10.3 | 68 | 709 | 3 | 93 | — | — | — |
| 2018 | WR58 | 102.0 | 8.5 | 43 | 590 | 3 | 35 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2025)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 0.2 | IND | 64 plays · 50% pass | -3 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 1.1 | LAC | 62 plays · 45% pass | 1 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 5.2 | LV | 61 plays · 57% pass | 37 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 1.1 | KC | 62 plays · 50% pass | 6 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 13.9 | BUF | 56 plays · 54% pass | 54 / 1 TD · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 1.1 | TEN | 64 plays · 64% pass | 6 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 0.8 | JAX | 67 plays · 67% pass | 3 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 4.6 | DEN | 68 plays · 59% pass | 26 · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W5 | 8.4 | BAL | 64 plays · 48% pass | 64 · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W4 | 3.5 | TEN | 63 plays · 44% pass | 20 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
- IND+17% · 263 pass yards
- LAC-13% · 195 pass yards
- LV-5% · 214 pass yards
- KC-9% · 205 pass yards
- BUF-24% · 170 pass yards
- TEN+10% · 248 pass yards
- JAX+3% · 231 pass yards
- DEN-6% · 212 pass yards
- BAL+15% · 259 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 48.6% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
61.0%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Broken tackles
- 1
- Avg depth of target
- 6.8
- Drop %
- 3.8%
Durability
- 202312 G
- 20248 G · 1 Out
- 202511 G · 4 Out
- 7.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.
R2 (47 overall) WR · that slot hit at 29.9% in 2010–2023 classes (n=67; contributor 58.2%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
Next Gen Stats
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
- Separation
- 2.54yd
- Cushion
- 5.71yd
- YAC above expected
- -0.25yd
- Air yards share
- 8.3%
62nd of 85
67th of 85
71st of 85
82nd of 85
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Christian Kirk's dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Kirk scores 235 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Christian Kirk's 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 1.3 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Christian Kirk in dynasty right now?
- Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.