Christian Kirk headshot

WR · SF · #3

Christian Kirk
IR

Height
HT 5'11"
Weight
WT 200 lbs
Birth date
Nov 18, 1996 (age 29.9)
College
Texas A&M

Only 11 games in 2025 — availability is the headline.

Traded from JAX to HOU (Mar 6, 2025).

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

15

Range 127–264

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection He is out. The job is still his when he returns.

Depth/upside bet — WR role isn't locked starter volume yet.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2025 total FP

43.9 pts

4.0 PPG

28 rec · 239 rec yds · 1 rec TD

Week 7 projection

0.0 pts

@ ATL · floor–ceiling 0.0–0.0

Dynasty Value Score over time

030Preseason 2026: 12Preseason 20262026 W1: 02026 W12026 W2: 02026 W22026 W3: 02026 W32026 W4: 02026 W42026 W5: 02026 W52026 W6: 02026 W6

History starts Preseason 2026.

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Durability ×0.95

    3 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.

  • Process ×0.99

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

  • Org environment ×1.01

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Watch

Kirk caught 28 passes for 239 yards in 2025, finishing WR106. He scored about 33% less than his touches said he should. Production trend is soft: WR95 → WR106 over the last two seasons. 2025 stopped at 11 games; staying on the field is the swing factor. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

43.9

PPG

4.0

Positional finish

WR106

Key stats

  • Rec: 28 (WR88)
  • Rec yds: 239 (WR106)
  • Rec TD: 1 (WR95)

2025 week shape

0/10 Boom 0%

7/10 Bust 70%

Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.

2025: 4.0 PPG actual vs 6.0 expected from usage (11 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 33%.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRecRec ydRec TDRush ydRush TDPass ydPass TD
2025WR10643.94.0282391————
2024WR9557.47.2273791————
2023WR47121.810.25778736—-1—
2022WR11199.911.8841108811———
2021WR26169.19.977982511—33—
2020WR49122.48.74862163———
2019WR40134.210.368709393———
2018WR58102.08.543590335———

Career arc

01002003002018: 102.0 Half-PPR10220182019: 134.2 Half-PPR13420192020: 122.4 Half-PPR12220202021: 169.1 Half-PPR16920212022: 199.9 Half-PPR20020222023: 121.8 Half-PPR12220232024: 57.4 Half-PPR5720242025: 43.9 Half-PPR4420252026 projection: 21.6 Half-PPR222026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRecRushPass
2025 W180.2BustIND64 plays · 50% pass-3 · 1 rec00
2025 W171.1BustLAC62 plays · 45% pass1 · 2 rec00
2025 W165.2LV61 plays · 57% pass37 · 3 rec00
2025 W141.1BustKC62 plays · 50% pass6 · 1 rec00
2025 W1213.9BUF56 plays · 54% pass54 / 1 TD · 5 rec00
2025 W111.1BustTEN64 plays · 64% pass6 · 1 rec00
2025 W100.8BustJAX67 plays · 67% pass3 · 1 rec00
2025 W94.6BustDEN68 plays · 59% pass26 · 4 rec00
2025 W58.4BAL64 plays · 48% pass64 · 4 rec00
2025 W43.5BustTEN63 plays · 44% pass20 · 3 rec00

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpectedBoom 20+Bust under 5
51015202545101518Week

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • IND
    +17% · 263 pass yards
  • LAC
    -13% · 195 pass yards
  • LV
    -5% · 214 pass yards
  • KC
    -9% · 205 pass yards
  • BUF
    -24% · 170 pass yards
  • TEN
    +10% · 248 pass yards
  • JAX
    +3% · 231 pass yards
  • DEN
    -6% · 212 pass yards
  • BAL
    +15% · 259 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 48.6% mean

255075100W1W18

target share

25507510045101518Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

61.0%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles
1
Avg depth of target
6.8
Drop %
3.8%

Durability

  • 2024
    8 G · 1 Out
  • 2025
    11 G · 4 Out
  • 2026
    —
  • 7.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short slate.

R2 (47 overall) WR · that slot hit at 29.9% in 2010–2023 classes (n=67; contributor 58.2%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table

Separation
2.54yd

62nd of 85

Cushion
5.71yd

67th of 85

YAC above expected
-0.25yd

71st of 85

Air yards share
8.3%

82nd of 85

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Christian Kirk's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Kirk scores 15 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Christian Kirk's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 1.3 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. A boom week is 20+ half-PPR; a bust is under 5. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Christian Kirk in dynasty right now?
Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.