Christian Kirk headshot

WR · SF · #3

Christian KirkIR

Height
HT 5'11"
Weight
WT 200 lbs
Birth date
Nov 18, 1996 (age 29.8)
College
Texas A&M

Only 11 games in 2025 — availability is the headline.

Traded from JAX to HOU (Mar 6, 2025).

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

0

Range 139274

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Depth/upside bet — WR role isn't locked starter volume yet.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

21.6 pts

1.3 PPG · 7.0 games

13.2 rec · 113 rec yds · 0.6 rec TD

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Durability ×0.95

    3 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.

  • Process ×0.99

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

  • Org environment ×1.01

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Watch

Kirk caught 28 passes for 239 yards in 2025, finishing WR106. He scored about 33% less than his touches said he should. Production trend is soft: WR95 → WR106 over the last two seasons. 2025 stopped at 11 games; staying on the field is the swing factor. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

43.9

PPG

4.0

Positional finish

WR106

Key stats

  • Rec: 28 (WR88)
  • Rec yds: 239 (WR106)
  • Rec TD: 1 (WR95)

2025: 4.0 PPG actual vs 6.0 expected from usage (11 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 33%.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRecRec ydRec TDRush ydRush TDPass ydPass TD
2025WR10643.94.0282391
2024WR9557.47.2273791
2023WR47121.810.25778736-1
2022WR11199.911.8841108811
2021WR26169.19.97798251133
2020WR49122.48.74862163
2019WR40134.210.368709393
2018WR58102.08.543590335

Career arc

01002003002018: 102.0 Half-PPR10220182019: 134.2 Half-PPR13420192020: 122.4 Half-PPR12220202021: 169.1 Half-PPR16920212022: 199.9 Half-PPR20020222023: 121.8 Half-PPR12220232024: 57.4 Half-PPR5720242025: 43.9 Half-PPR4420252026 projection: 21.6 Half-PPR222026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRecRushPass
2025 W180.2IND64 plays · 50% pass-3 · 1 rec00
2025 W171.1LAC62 plays · 45% pass1 · 2 rec00
2025 W165.2LV61 plays · 57% pass37 · 3 rec00
2025 W141.1KC62 plays · 50% pass6 · 1 rec00
2025 W1213.9BUF56 plays · 54% pass54 / 1 TD · 5 rec00
2025 W111.1TEN64 plays · 64% pass6 · 1 rec00
2025 W100.8JAX67 plays · 67% pass3 · 1 rec00
2025 W94.6DEN68 plays · 59% pass26 · 4 rec00
2025 W58.4BAL64 plays · 48% pass64 · 4 rec00
2025 W43.5TEN63 plays · 44% pass20 · 3 rec00

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpected
510152045101518Week

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • IND
    +17% · 263 pass yards
  • LAC
    -13% · 195 pass yards
  • LV
    -5% · 214 pass yards
  • KC
    -9% · 205 pass yards
  • BUF
    -24% · 170 pass yards
  • TEN
    +10% · 248 pass yards
  • JAX
    +3% · 231 pass yards
  • DEN
    -6% · 212 pass yards
  • BAL
    +15% · 259 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 48.6% mean

255075100W1W18

target share

25507510045101518Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

61.0%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles
1
Avg depth of target
6.8
Drop %
3.8%

Durability

  • 2023
    12 G
  • 2024
    8 G · 1 Out
  • 2025
    11 G · 4 Out
  • 7.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.

R2 (47 overall) WR · that slot hit at 29.9% in 2010–2023 classes (n=67; contributor 58.2%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample

Separation
2.54yd

62nd of 85

Cushion
5.71yd

67th of 85

YAC above expected
-0.25yd

71st of 85

Air yards share
8.3%

82nd of 85

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Christian Kirk's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Kirk scores 0 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Christian Kirk's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 1.3 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Christian Kirk in dynasty right now?
Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.