WR · SF · #3
Only 11 games in 2025 — availability is the headline.
Traded from JAX to HOU (Mar 6, 2025).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
15
Range 127–264
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection He is out. The job is still his when he returns.
Depth/upside bet — WR role isn't locked starter volume yet.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2025 total FP
43.9 pts
4.0 PPG
28 rec · 239 rec yds · 1 rec TD
Week 7 projection
0.0 pts
@ ATL · floor–ceiling 0.0–0.0
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.95
3 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Kirk caught 28 passes for 239 yards in 2025, finishing WR106. He scored about 33% less than his touches said he should. Production trend is soft: WR95 → WR106 over the last two seasons. 2025 stopped at 11 games; staying on the field is the swing factor. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Half-PPR points
43.9
PPG
4.0
Positional finish
WR106
Key stats
2025 week shape
0/10 Boom 0%
7/10 Bust 70%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
2025: 4.0 PPG actual vs 6.0 expected from usage (11 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 33%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | WR106 | 43.9 | 4.0 | 28 | 239 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR95 | 57.4 | 7.2 | 27 | 379 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | WR47 | 121.8 | 10.2 | 57 | 787 | 3 | 6 | — | -1 | — |
| 2022 | WR11 | 199.9 | 11.8 | 84 | 1108 | 8 | 11 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | WR26 | 169.1 | 9.9 | 77 | 982 | 5 | 11 | — | 33 | — |
| 2020 | WR49 | 122.4 | 8.7 | 48 | 621 | 6 | 3 | — | — | — |
| 2019 | WR40 | 134.2 | 10.3 | 68 | 709 | 3 | 93 | — | — | — |
| 2018 | WR58 | 102.0 | 8.5 | 43 | 590 | 3 | 35 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 0.2Bust | IND | 64 plays · 50% pass | -3 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 1.1Bust | LAC | 62 plays · 45% pass | 1 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 5.2 | LV | 61 plays · 57% pass | 37 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 1.1Bust | KC | 62 plays · 50% pass | 6 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 13.9 | BUF | 56 plays · 54% pass | 54 / 1 TD · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 1.1Bust | TEN | 64 plays · 64% pass | 6 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 0.8Bust | JAX | 67 plays · 67% pass | 3 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 4.6Bust | DEN | 68 plays · 59% pass | 26 · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W5 | 8.4 | BAL | 64 plays · 48% pass | 64 · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W4 | 3.5Bust | TEN | 63 plays · 44% pass | 20 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 48.6% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
61.0%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R2 (47 overall) WR · that slot hit at 29.9% in 2010–2023 classes (n=67; contributor 58.2%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
62nd of 85
67th of 85
71st of 85
82nd of 85
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.