WR · IND · #14
Finish path matters here: WR39 → WR24 is a breakout, not a development pitch.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
3,815
Range 3,426–4,030
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
155.4 pts
9.1 PPG · 15.5 games
51.9 rec · 917 rec yds · 6.1 rec TD
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Pierce caught 47 passes for 1,003 yards in 2025, finishing WR24. He scored 9% more than his touches said he should. Finish path matters here: WR39 → WR24 is a breakout, not a development pitch. Looking at 2026, he's a situational piece unless the role grows. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Alec Pierce.
Half-PPR points
159.8
PPG
10.7
Positional finish
WR24
Key stats
2025: 10.7 PPG actual vs 9.8 expected from usage (15 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 9%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | WR24 | 159.8 | 10.7 | 47 | 1003 | 6 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR39 | 142.9 | 8.9 | 37 | 824 | 7 | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | WR72 | 79.4 | 4.7 | 32 | 514 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | WR58 | 91.8 | 5.7 | 41 | 593 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 27.2 | HOU | 63 plays · 56% pass | 132 / 2 TD · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 0.0 | JAX | 53 plays · 59% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 22.6 | SF | 56 plays · 64% pass | 86 / 2 TD · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 2.1 | SEA | 57 plays · 47% pass | 16 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 10.5 | JAX | 62 plays · 58% pass | 80 · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 15.8 | HOU | 50 plays · 54% pass | 78 / 1 TD · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 3.1 | KC | 50 plays · 62% pass | 26 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 16.4 | ATL | 67 plays · 39% pass | 84 / 1 TD · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 14.5 | PIT | 69 plays · 73% pass | 115 · 6 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 7.9 | TEN | 49 plays · 63% pass | 69 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 85.9% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
88.8%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R2 (53 overall) WR · that slot hit at 29.9% in 2010–2023 classes (n=67; contributor 58.2%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
82nd of 85
39th of 85
13th of 85
7th of 85
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.