Alec Pierce headshot

WR · IND · #14

Alec Pierce

Height
HT 6'3"
Weight
WT 213 lbs
Birth date
May 2, 2000 (age 26.3)
College
Cincinnati

Finish path matters here: WR39 → WR24 is a breakout, not a development pitch.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

3,815

Range 3,4264,030

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

155.4 pts

9.1 PPG · 15.5 games

51.9 rec · 917 rec yds · 6.1 rec TD

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Process ×0.99

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

Quick answer

Buy

Pierce caught 47 passes for 1,003 yards in 2025, finishing WR24. He scored 9% more than his touches said he should. Finish path matters here: WR39 → WR24 is a breakout, not a development pitch. Looking at 2026, he's a situational piece unless the role grows. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.

NextDyne coverage

Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Alec Pierce.

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

159.8

PPG

10.7

Positional finish

WR24

Key stats

  • Rec: 47 (WR45)
  • Rec yds: 1003 (WR18)
  • Rec TD: 6 (WR18)

2025: 10.7 PPG actual vs 9.8 expected from usage (15 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 9%.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRecRec ydRec TDRush ydRush TDPass ydPass TD
2025WR24159.810.74710036
2024WR39142.98.9378247
2023WR7279.44.7325142
2022WR5891.85.7415932

Career arc

0501001502002022: 91.8 Half-PPR9220222023: 79.4 Half-PPR7920232024: 142.9 Half-PPR14320242025: 159.8 Half-PPR16020252026 projection: 155.4 Half-PPR1552026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRecRushPass
2025 W1827.2HOU63 plays · 56% pass132 / 2 TD · 4 rec00
2025 W170.0JAX53 plays · 59% pass000
2025 W1622.6SF56 plays · 64% pass86 / 2 TD · 4 rec00
2025 W152.1SEA57 plays · 47% pass16 · 1 rec00
2025 W1410.5JAX62 plays · 58% pass80 · 5 rec00
2025 W1315.8HOU50 plays · 54% pass78 / 1 TD · 4 rec00
2025 W123.1KC50 plays · 62% pass26 · 1 rec00
2025 W1016.4ATL67 plays · 39% pass84 / 1 TD · 4 rec00
2025 W914.5PIT69 plays · 73% pass115 · 6 rec00
2025 W87.9TEN49 plays · 63% pass69 · 2 rec00

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpected
5101520253089101112131415161718Week

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • HOU
    -9% · 205 pass yards
  • JAX
    +3% · 231 pass yards
  • SF
    +7% · 242 pass yards
  • SEA
    -5% · 213 pass yards
  • KC
    -9% · 205 pass yards
  • ATL
    -1% · 222 pass yards
  • PIT
    +16% · 261 pass yards
  • TEN
    +10% · 248 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 85.9% mean

255075100W1W18

target share

25507510089101112131415161718Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

88.8%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles
1
Avg depth of target
18.9
Drop %
1.2%

Durability

  • 2023
    17 G
  • 2024
    16 G · 1 Out
  • 2025
    15 G · 2 Out
  • 15.5 projected games — last three seasons at a full slate.

R2 (53 overall) WR · that slot hit at 29.9% in 2010–2023 classes (n=67; contributor 58.2%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample

Separation
2.08yd

82nd of 85

Cushion
6.28yd

39th of 85

YAC above expected
1.28yd

13th of 85

Air yards share
37.3%

7th of 85

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Alec Pierce's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Pierce scores 3,815 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Alec Pierce's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 9.1 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Alec Pierce in dynasty right now?
The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.