TE · DAL · #87
Played a short 2026 (1 games) — health is the nearer question than talent.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
3,845
Range 3,529–4,157
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven TE in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
138.3 pts
8.1 PPG · 15.8 games
78.7 rec · 692.7 rec yds · 5.2 rec TD
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.02
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Ferguson caught 2 passes for 6 yards in 2026, finishing TE48. TE8 slipped to TE48 last year; that's the warning. Only 1 games in 2026 — availability is the headline. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Jake Ferguson.
Half-PPR points
1.6
PPG
1.6
Positional finish
TE48
Key stats
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | TE48 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | TE8 | 147.1 | 8.7 | 82 | 600 | 8 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | TE30 | 74.9 | 5.4 | 59 | 494 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | TE8 | 141.6 | 8.3 | 71 | 761 | 5 | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | TE47 | 38.9 | 3.5 | 19 | 174 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | 1.6 | NYG | 52 plays · 65% pass | 6 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
Week 1 Engine grade
Projected 8.7 · scored 1.6 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +7.1.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 66.7% mean
Pass-play participation
78.9%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R4 (129 overall) TE · that slot hit at 13.9% in 2010–2023 classes (n=36; contributor 27.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
23rd of 35
15th of 35
21st of 35
21st of 35
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.