RB · CAR · #28
Played a short 2026 (1 games) — health is the nearer question than talent.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
174
Range 102–245
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Depth/upside bet — RB role isn't locked starter volume yet.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
39.4 pts
2.3 PPG · 7.0 games
211.3 rush yds · 7.6 rec · 76.9 rec yds
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.96
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Dillon ran for 28 yards in 2026, finishing RB58. Path runs RB40 → RB115 → RB58 — a bounce-back, not a blank slate. 2026 stopped at 1 games; staying on the field is the swing factor. That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention AJ Dillon.
Half-PPR points
2.8
PPG
2.8
Positional finish
RB58
Key stats
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | RB58 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | RB115 | 7.6 | 1.3 | 60 | — | 3 | 21 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | RB40 | 106.6 | 7.1 | 613 | 2 | 22 | 223 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | RB25 | 153.6 | 9.0 | 770 | 7 | 28 | 206 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | RB23 | 168.6 | 9.9 | 803 | 5 | 34 | 313 | 2 | — | — |
| 2020 | RB80 | 39.3 | 4.4 | 242 | 2 | 2 | 21 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rush | Rec | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | 2.8 | CHI | 60 plays · 63% pass | 28 | 0 | 0 |
Week 1 Engine grade
Projected 6.2 · scored 2.8 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +3.4.
Those opponents
Rush yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 11.9% mean
Pass-play participation
10.8%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R2 (62 overall) RB · that slot hit at 56.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=37; contributor 70.3%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
No Next Gen Stats for this player yet.
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.