Josh Downs headshot

WR · IND · #2

Josh DownsQ

Height
HT 5'9"
Weight
WT 171 lbs
Birth date
Aug 12, 2001 (age 25.1)
College
North Carolina

Played a short 2026 (1 games) — health is the nearer question than talent.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

4,090

Range 3,6934,359

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

144.5 pts

8.5 PPG · 16.0 games

70 rec · 780.9 rec yds · 5.1 rec TD

Dynasty Value Score over time

3,8003,9004,0004,1004,200Preseason 2026: 3,892Preseason 20262026 W1: 4,0902026 W1

History starts Preseason 2026.

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Durability ×0.98

    One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.

  • Process ×0.99

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

Quick answer

Watch

Downs caught 2 passes for 37 yards in 2026, finishing WR62. Production trend is soft: WR48 → WR62 over the last two seasons. Played a short 2026 (1 games) — health is the nearer question than talent. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.

NextDyne coverage

Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Josh Downs.

2026 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

4.7

PPG

4.7

Positional finish

WR62

Key stats

  • Rec: 2 (WR60)
  • Rec yds: 37 (WR53)
  • Rec TD:

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRecRec ydRec TDRush ydRush TDPass ydPass TD
2026WR624.74.7237
2025WR48107.46.7585664-2
2024WR36147.510.572803512
2023WR46123.17.2687712

Career arc

0501001502002023: 123.1 Half-PPR12320232024: 147.5 Half-PPR14820242025: 107.4 Half-PPR10720252026: 4.7 Half-PPR520262026 projection: 144.5 Half-PPR1442026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2026)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRecRushPass
2026 W14.7BAL51 plays · 61% pass37 · 2 rec00

Week 1 Engine grade

Projected 8.3 · scored 4.7 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +3.6.

League-wide accuracy table

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • BAL
    -27% · 166 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 58.7% mean

255075100W1W18

Pass-play participation

67.2%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles
1
Avg depth of target
7.2
Drop %
4.5%

Durability

  • 2023
    17 G
  • 2024
    14 G · 2 Out
  • 2025
    16 G · 1 Out
  • 16.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.

R3 (79 overall) WR · that slot hit at 18.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=64; contributor 34.4%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample

Separation
2.68yd

52nd of 85

Cushion
7.21yd

5th of 85

YAC above expected
0.13yd

58th of 85

Air yards share
15.9%

62nd of 85

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Josh Downs's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Downs scores 4,090 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Josh Downs's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 8.5 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Josh Downs in dynasty right now?
Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.