WR · IND · #2
Played a short 2026 (1 games) — health is the nearer question than talent.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
4,090
Range 3,693–4,359
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
144.5 pts
8.5 PPG · 16.0 games
70 rec · 780.9 rec yds · 5.1 rec TD
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Downs caught 2 passes for 37 yards in 2026, finishing WR62. Production trend is soft: WR48 → WR62 over the last two seasons. Played a short 2026 (1 games) — health is the nearer question than talent. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Josh Downs.
Half-PPR points
4.7
PPG
4.7
Positional finish
WR62
Key stats
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | WR62 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 2 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | WR48 | 107.4 | 6.7 | 58 | 566 | 4 | -2 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR36 | 147.5 | 10.5 | 72 | 803 | 5 | 12 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | WR46 | 123.1 | 7.2 | 68 | 771 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | 4.7 | BAL | 51 plays · 61% pass | 37 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
Week 1 Engine grade
Projected 8.3 · scored 4.7 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +3.6.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 58.7% mean
Pass-play participation
67.2%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R3 (79 overall) WR · that slot hit at 18.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=64; contributor 34.4%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
52nd of 85
5th of 85
58th of 85
62nd of 85
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.