WR · BAL · #4
Finish path matters here: WR24 → WR7 is a breakout, not a development pitch.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
5,885
Range 5,251–6,271
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
197.6 pts
11.6 PPG · 16.4 games
84.3 rec · 1120.3 rec yds · 6.2 rec TD
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.98
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Flowers caught 86 passes for 1,211 yards in 2025, finishing WR7. He scored 20% more than his touches said he should. Coming off a real climb — WR24 to WR7 tells the story better than age. The 2026 projection is modest — the role has to hold. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Zay Flowers.
Zay Flowers Just Got Paid — Does the Ravens' Offense Hold Him Back?
Zay Flowers signed a $140 million extension after a WR7 breakout, but Baltimore's offense was one of the league's lowest-volume passing attacks. Here's his dynasty value.
Does the Move to New England Help or Hurt A.J. Brown's Value?
A.J. Brown left a strained situation in Philadelphia to reunite with his first NFL head coach in New England. Here's what the move means for his dynasty value.
Keep or Trade Justin Jefferson in Dynasty in 2026?
Justin Jefferson's WR25 finish in 2025 wasn't about him — it was Minnesota's quarterback play. Here's why his dynasty value bounces back in 2026.
Half-PPR points
200.3
PPG
11.8
Positional finish
WR7
Key stats
2025: 11.8 PPG actual vs 9.8 expected from usage (17 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 20%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | WR7 | 200.3 | 11.8 | 86 | 1211 | 5 | 62 | 1 | — | — |
| 2024 | WR24 | 172.5 | 10.1 | 74 | 1059 | 4 | 56 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | WR29 | 167.9 | 10.5 | 77 | 858 | 5 | 56 | 1 | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 27.8 | PIT | 45 plays · 40% pass | 138 / 2 TD · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 11.0 | GB | 73 plays · 27% pass | 30 / 1 TD · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 17.7 | NE | 53 plays · 38% pass | 84 · 7 rec | 18 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 14.3 | CIN | 36 plays · 33% pass | 68 / 1 TD · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 16.6 | PIT | 75 plays · 47% pass | 124 · 8 rec | 2 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | -0.4 | CIN | 54 plays · 59% pass | 6 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 9.4 | NYJ | 57 plays · 40% pass | 58 · 5 rec | 11 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 9.8 | CLE | 55 plays · 46% pass | 78 · 3 rec | 5 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 10.1 | MIN | 65 plays · 45% pass | 75 · 4 rec | 6 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 8.9 | MIA | 54 plays · 43% pass | 64 · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 86.5% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
94.8%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (22 overall) WR · that slot hit at 60.0% in 2010–2023 classes (n=55; contributor 72.7%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
10th of 85
23rd of 85
56th of 85
11th of 85
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.