Zay Flowers headshot

WR · BAL · #4

Zay Flowers

Height
HT 5'9"
Weight
WT 183 lbs
Birth date
Sep 11, 2000 (age 26)
College
Boston College

Finish path matters here: WR24 → WR7 is a breakout, not a development pitch.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

5,885

Range 5,2516,271

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

197.6 pts

11.6 PPG · 16.4 games

84.3 rec · 1120.3 rec yds · 6.2 rec TD

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Process ×0.99

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

  • Org environment ×0.98

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Buy

Flowers caught 86 passes for 1,211 yards in 2025, finishing WR7. He scored 20% more than his touches said he should. Coming off a real climb — WR24 to WR7 tells the story better than age. The 2026 projection is modest — the role has to hold. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.

NextDyne coverage

Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Zay Flowers.

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

200.3

PPG

11.8

Positional finish

WR7

Key stats

  • Rec: 86 (WR8)
  • Rec yds: 1211 (WR6)
  • Rec TD: 5 (WR32)

2025: 11.8 PPG actual vs 9.8 expected from usage (17 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 20%.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRecRec ydRec TDRush ydRush TDPass ydPass TD
2025WR7200.311.88612115621
2024WR24172.510.1741059456
2023WR29167.910.5778585561

Career arc

01002003002023: 167.9 Half-PPR16820232024: 172.5 Half-PPR17320242025: 200.3 Half-PPR20020252026 projection: 197.6 Half-PPR1982026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRecRushPass
2025 W1827.8PIT45 plays · 40% pass138 / 2 TD · 4 rec00
2025 W1711.0GB73 plays · 27% pass30 / 1 TD · 4 rec00
2025 W1617.7NE53 plays · 38% pass84 · 7 rec18 / 1 TD0
2025 W1514.3CIN36 plays · 33% pass68 / 1 TD · 3 rec00
2025 W1416.6PIT75 plays · 47% pass124 · 8 rec20
2025 W13-0.4CIN54 plays · 59% pass6 · 2 rec00
2025 W129.4NYJ57 plays · 40% pass58 · 5 rec110
2025 W119.8CLE55 plays · 46% pass78 · 3 rec50
2025 W1010.1MIN65 plays · 45% pass75 · 4 rec60
2025 W98.9MIA54 plays · 43% pass64 · 5 rec00

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpected
51015202530359101112131415161718Week

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • PIT
    +16% · 261 pass yards
  • GB
    -8% · 207 pass yards
  • NE
    -8% · 207 pass yards
  • CIN
    +9% · 246 pass yards
  • NYJ
    +1% · 226 pass yards
  • CLE
    -16% · 189 pass yards
  • MIN
    -21% · 178 pass yards
  • MIA
    +3% · 231 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 86.5% mean

255075100W1W18

target share

2550751009101112131415161718Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

94.8%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles
9
Avg depth of target
10.2
Drop %
5.9%

Durability

  • 2023
    16 G
  • 2024
    17 G
  • 2025
    17 G
  • 16.4 projected games — last three seasons at a full slate.

R1 (22 overall) WR · that slot hit at 60.0% in 2010–2023 classes (n=55; contributor 72.7%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample

Separation
3.58yd

10th of 85

Cushion
6.45yd

23rd of 85

YAC above expected
0.20yd

56th of 85

Air yards share
34.7%

11th of 85

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Zay Flowers's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Flowers scores 5,885 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Zay Flowers's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 11.6 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Zay Flowers in dynasty right now?
The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.