QB · NO · #4
Only 4 games in 2025 — availability is the headline.
Traded from NYJ to DEN (Apr 22, 2024).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
0
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Depth/upside bet — QB role isn't locked starter volume yet.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
33.9 pts
2.0 PPG · 4.0 games
581.2 pass yds · 2.8 pass TD · 54 rush yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.95
2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Process ×1.02
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Wilson threw for 32 yards in 2025, finishing QB70. He scored about 64% less than his touches said he should. QB29 slipped to QB70 last year; that's the warning. Played a short 2025 (4 games) — health is the nearer question than talent. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Half-PPR points
1.4
PPG
0.4
Positional finish
QB70
Key stats
2025: 0.4 PPG actual vs 1.1 expected from usage (3 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 64%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB70 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 32 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB29 | 119.9 | 10.0 | 2271 | 8 | 211 | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB34 | 98.4 | 10.9 | 1688 | 6 | 102 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 2021 | QB30 | 151.9 | 11.7 | 2334 | 9 | 185 | 4 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 0.0 | NE | 50 plays · 50% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | -0.2 | NYJ | 62 plays · 34% pass | 0 | -2 | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 0.0 | ATL | 64 plays · 42% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W1 | 1.6 | IND | 43 plays · 72% pass | 32 | 3 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 11.3% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
10.1%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (2 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
No Next Gen Stats for this player yet.
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.