RB · BUF · #26
RB year-to-year rank has been jumpy; don't buy one season as destiny.
Picked by the Lions in 2019 via a trade with the Falcons.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
178
Range 107–249
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Depth/upside bet — RB role isn't locked starter volume yet.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
26.1 pts
1.5 PPG · 7.0 games
66.3 rush yds · 5.6 rec · 88.4 rec yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.96
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.02
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Johnson ran for 200 yards and caught 24 passes in 2025, finishing RB47. He scored 6% more than his touches said he should. Expect range, not a smooth curve — recent finishes span RB47 to RB81. Don't pay for a bounce from the 2026 projection alone. This is a hold, not a sell or a buy — the swings mean the price should already reflect the risk.
Half-PPR points
88.3
PPG
5.2
Positional finish
RB47
Key stats
2025: 5.2 PPG actual vs 4.9 expected from usage (17 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 6%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | RB47 | 88.3 | 5.2 | 200 | 3 | 24 | 263 | 2 | — | — |
| 2024 | RB50 | 82.7 | 4.9 | 213 | 1 | 18 | 284 | 3 | — | — |
| 2023 | RB81 | 28.9 | 3.2 | 132 | — | 7 | 62 | 1 | — | — |
| 2022 | RB80 | 36.8 | 3.1 | 160 | 1 | 12 | 88 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | RB47 | 100.0 | 6.7 | 238 | 2 | 34 | 372 | 2 | — | — |
| 2020 | RB69 | 55.3 | 5.0 | 254 | 1 | 16 | 99 | 1 | — | — |
| 2019 | RB71 | 48.2 | 3.0 | 273 | — | 24 | 109 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rush | Rec | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 18.6 | NYJ | 72 plays · 40% pass | 36 / 1 TD | 20 / 1 TD · 2 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 6.3 | PHI | 68 plays · 52% pass | 15 | 33 · 3 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 7.6 | CLE | 48 plays · 40% pass | 16 / 1 TD | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 4.3 | NE | 65 plays · 43% pass | 13 | 15 · 3 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 4.9 | CIN | 57 plays · 49% pass | 25 | 14 · 2 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 4.0 | PIT | 74 plays · 31% pass | 5 | 20 · 3 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 6.7 | HOU | 58 plays · 59% pass | 7 | 45 · 3 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 14.0 | TB | 53 plays · 57% pass | 9 | 61 / 1 TD · 2 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 3.6 | MIA | 62 plays · 65% pass | 2 | 24 · 2 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 9.0 | KC | 61 plays · 43% pass | 8 / 1 TD | 12 · 2 rec | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Rush yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 29.6% mean
carry share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
40.8%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R6 (186 overall) RB · that slot hit at 6.6% in 2010–2023 classes (n=61; contributor 14.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
No Next Gen Stats for this player yet.
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.