RB · PIT · #13
RB at 28 — quiet profile, no red flags either way.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
2,951
Range 2,726–3,172
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Elite RB production now; the age curve is already in the score.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
161.1 pts
9.5 PPG · 16.1 games
825.5 rush yds · 31.7 rec · 237.2 rec yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×1.01
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Versatility ×1.02
Light floor from multi-role usage (rush+receive or dual-threat).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Dowdle ran for 1,076 yards and caught 39 passes in 2025, finishing RB17. He scored 11% more than his touches said he should. He's 28 with a quiet recent trend — no red flag, no spike either. Looking at 2026, he's a situational piece unless the role grows. This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Rico Dowdle.
Half-PPR points
196.8
PPG
11.6
Positional finish
RB17
Key stats
2025: 11.6 PPG actual vs 10.5 expected from usage (17 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 11%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | RB17 | 196.8 | 11.6 | 1076 | 6 | 39 | 297 | 1 | — | — |
| 2024 | RB22 | 178.3 | 11.1 | 1079 | 2 | 39 | 249 | 3 | — | — |
| 2023 | RB50 | 83.0 | 5.2 | 361 | 2 | 17 | 144 | 2 | — | — |
| 2022 | RB163 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | RB141 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rush | Rec | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 2.0 | TB | 49 plays · 71% pass | 10 | 20 · 2 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 7.8 | SEA | 50 plays · 48% pass | 59 | 4 · 3 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 6.3 | TB | 52 plays · 62% pass | 29 | 14 · 4 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 11.9 | NO | 55 plays · 44% pass | 49 / 1 TD | 5 · 1 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 8.9 | LA | 60 plays · 33% pass | 58 | 21 · 2 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 9.4 | SF | 42 plays · 69% pass | 38 | 36 · 4 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 12.5 | ATL | 70 plays · 64% pass | 45 | 55 · 5 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 13.8 | NO | 48 plays · 52% pass | 53 / 1 TD | 10 · 3 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 27.1 | GB | 53 plays · 38% pass | 130 / 2 TD | 11 · 2 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 5.4 | BUF | 52 plays · 46% pass | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Rush yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 56.1% mean
carry share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
49.7%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
Undrafted RB — this pack does not score UDFA hit rates.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
16th of 51
3rd of 51
37th of 51
23rd of 51
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.