RB · BUF · #7
RB38 slipped to RB62 last year; that's the warning.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
500
Range 468–533
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Young RB with runway — the score still pays for the years ahead.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
61.0 pts
3.6 PPG · 13.0 games
250.3 rush yds · 10.9 rec · 107 rec yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.02
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Davis ran for 275 yards and caught 10 passes in 2025, finishing RB62. He scored about 26% less than his touches said he should. RB38 slipped to RB62 last year; that's the warning. The 2026 projection is thin — only roster him if you need the upside. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Ray Davis.
Half-PPR points
53.1
PPG
3.1
Positional finish
RB62
Key stats
2025: 3.1 PPG actual vs 4.2 expected from usage (13 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 26%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | RB62 | 53.1 | 3.1 | 275 | — | 10 | 86 | 2 | — | — |
| 2024 | RB38 | 107.6 | 6.3 | 442 | 3 | 17 | 189 | 3 | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rush | Rec | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 24.4 | NYJ | 72 plays · 40% pass | 151 | 23 / 1 TD · 2 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 2.1 | PHI | 68 plays · 52% pass | 4 | 12 · 1 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 4.4 | CLE | 48 plays · 40% pass | 14 | 20 · 2 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 1.8 | NE | 65 plays · 43% pass | 0 | 13 · 1 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 0.0 | CIN | 57 plays · 49% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 6.2 | PIT | 74 plays · 31% pass | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 0.0 | HOU | 58 plays · 59% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 0.0 | TB | 53 plays · 57% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 0.3 | MIA | 62 plays · 65% pass | -2 | 0 · 1 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 0.0 | KC | 61 plays · 43% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Rush yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 14.3% mean
carry share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
17.4%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R4 (128 overall) RB · that slot hit at 12.3% in 2010–2023 classes (n=57; contributor 29.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2024 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
26th of 48
38th of 48
4th of 48
37th of 48
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.