TE · KC · #83
Noah Gray
- Height
- HT 6'3"
- Weight
- WT 240 lbs
- Birth date
- Apr 30, 1999 (age 27.3)
- College
- Duke
TE20 slipped to TE62 last year; that's the warning.
Picked by the Chiefs in 2021 via a trade with the Jets.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
526
Range 606–641
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven TE in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
43.2 pts
2.5 PPG · 10.0 games
20.1 rec · 219.5 rec yds · 1.9 rec TD
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×1.03
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Quick answer
WatchGray caught 21 passes for 178 yards in 2025, finishing TE62. He scored about 43% less than his touches said he should. Recent form cooled from TE20 to TE62 — watch whether that's noise or a real step down. The 2026 projection is thin — only roster him if you need the upside. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
2025 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
28.3
PPG
2.0
Positional finish
TE62
Key stats
- Rec: 21 (TE50)
- Rec yds: 178 (TE56)
- Rec TD: —
2025: 2.0 PPG actual vs 3.5 expected from usage (13 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 43%.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | TE62 | 28.3 | 2.0 | 21 | 178 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | TE20 | 93.3 | 5.8 | 40 | 437 | 5 | -4 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | TE35 | 56.6 | 3.5 | 28 | 305 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | TE37 | 56.0 | 3.3 | 28 | 299 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| 2021 | TE81 | 13.1 | 1.9 | 7 | 36 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2025)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 4.5 | LV | 54 plays · 57% pass | 30 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 0.7 | DEN | 41 plays · 54% pass | 2 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 0.0 | TEN | 39 plays · 62% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 1.9 | HOU | 62 plays · 53% pass | 14 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 4.0 | IND | 87 plays · 53% pass | 25 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 1.9 | DEN | 59 plays · 76% pass | 9 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 0.0 | BUF | 54 plays · 63% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 3.3 | WAS | 64 plays · 53% pass | 23 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W7 | 3.3 | LV | 76 plays · 46% pass | 28 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W6 | 3.5 | DET | 59 plays · 51% pass | 25 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
- LV-5% · 214 pass yards
- DEN-6% · 212 pass yards
- TEN+10% · 248 pass yards
- HOU-9% · 205 pass yards
- IND+17% · 263 pass yards
- BUF-24% · 170 pass yards
- WAS+14% · 257 pass yards
- DET+5% · 237 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 52.1% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
45.5%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Broken tackles
- 0
- Avg depth of target
- 6.1
- Drop %
- 8.1%
Durability
- 202316 G
- 202416 G
- 202514 G · 1 Out
- 10.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.
R5 (162 overall) TE · that slot hit at 3.0% in 2010–2023 classes (n=33; contributor 6.1%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
Next Gen Stats
2024 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
- Separation
- 4.39yd
- Cushion
- 5.86yd
- YAC above expected
- 0.13yd
- Air yards share
- 8.7%
2nd of 33
25th of 33
25th of 33
27th of 33
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Noah Gray's dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Gray scores 526 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Noah Gray's 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 2.5 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Noah Gray in dynasty right now?
- Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.