WR · CHI · #10
Still early at 23; there's room left if the job sticks.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
3,398
Range 2,842–3,801
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Young WR with proof and a long runway.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
126.1 pts
7.4 PPG · 16.0 games
54.7 rec · 710.1 rec yds · 4.1 rec TD
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Combine ×1.01
Athletic composite 6.8/10 (RAS-like; fades after year 2).
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Burden caught 47 passes for 652 yards in 2025, finishing WR50. He scored 32% more than his touches said he should. He's 23 — best seasons can still be ahead if the role holds. Looking at 2026, he's a situational piece unless the role grows. Age is on his side — a reasonable buy if the WR role keeps opening up.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Luther Burden III.
Half-PPR points
104.4
PPG
7.0
Positional finish
WR50
Key stats
2025: 7.0 PPG actual vs 5.3 expected from usage (15 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 32%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | WR50 | 104.4 | 7.0 | 47 | 652 | 2 | 37 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 6.0 | DET | 51 plays · 65% pass | 35 · 3 rec | 10 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 23.8 | SF | 64 plays · 66% pass | 138 / 1 TD · 8 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 11.4 | CLE | 61 plays · 46% pass | 84 · 6 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 9.0 | GB | 67 plays · 52% pass | 67 · 4 rec | 3 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 5.6 | PHI | 83 plays · 43% pass | 33 · 4 rec | 3 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 7.6 | PIT | 60 plays · 58% pass | 46 · 3 rec | 15 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 4.2 | MIN | 71 plays · 45% pass | 27 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 6.6 | NYG | 64 plays · 56% pass | 51 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 0.4 | BAL | 61 plays · 62% pass | -1 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W7 | 2.6 | NO | 66 plays · 39% pass | 22 · 1 rec | -1 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 39.7% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
45.9%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R2 (39 overall) WR · that slot hit at 29.9% in 2010–2023 classes (n=67; contributor 58.2%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
1st of 85
3rd of 85
18th of 85
78th of 85
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.