Luther Burden III headshot

WR · CHI · #10

Luther Burden III

Height
HT 6'0"
Weight
WT 205 lbs
Birth date
Dec 12, 2003 (age 22.7)
College
Missouri

Still early at 23; there's room left if the job sticks.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

3,398

Range 2,8423,801

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Young WR with proof and a long runway.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

126.1 pts

7.4 PPG · 16.0 games

54.7 rec · 710.1 rec yds · 4.1 rec TD

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Process ×0.99

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

  • Combine ×1.01

    Athletic composite 6.8/10 (RAS-like; fades after year 2).

  • Org environment ×1.01

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Buy

Burden caught 47 passes for 652 yards in 2025, finishing WR50. He scored 32% more than his touches said he should. He's 23 — best seasons can still be ahead if the role holds. Looking at 2026, he's a situational piece unless the role grows. Age is on his side — a reasonable buy if the WR role keeps opening up.

NextDyne coverage

Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Luther Burden III.

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

104.4

PPG

7.0

Positional finish

WR50

Key stats

  • Rec: 47 (WR45)
  • Rec yds: 652 (WR41)
  • Rec TD: 2 (WR70)

2025: 7.0 PPG actual vs 5.3 expected from usage (15 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 32%.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRecRec ydRec TDRush ydRush TDPass ydPass TD
2025WR50104.47.047652237

Career arc

0501001502025: 104.4 Half-PPR10420252026 projection: 126.1 Half-PPR1262026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRecRushPass
2025 W186.0DET51 plays · 65% pass35 · 3 rec100
2025 W1723.8SF64 plays · 66% pass138 / 1 TD · 8 rec00
2025 W1511.4CLE61 plays · 46% pass84 · 6 rec00
2025 W149.0GB67 plays · 52% pass67 · 4 rec30
2025 W135.6PHI83 plays · 43% pass33 · 4 rec30
2025 W127.6PIT60 plays · 58% pass46 · 3 rec150
2025 W114.2MIN71 plays · 45% pass27 · 3 rec00
2025 W106.6NYG64 plays · 56% pass51 · 3 rec00
2025 W80.4BAL61 plays · 62% pass-1 · 1 rec00
2025 W72.6NO66 plays · 39% pass22 · 1 rec-10

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpected
510152025307101518Week

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • DET
    +5% · 237 pass yards
  • SF
    +7% · 242 pass yards
  • CLE
    -16% · 189 pass yards
  • GB
    -8% · 207 pass yards
  • PHI
    -9% · 205 pass yards
  • PIT
    +16% · 261 pass yards
  • MIN
    -21% · 178 pass yards
  • NYG
    +2% · 230 pass yards
  • BAL
    +15% · 259 pass yards
  • NO
    -13% · 196 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 39.7% mean

255075100W1W18

target share

2550751007101518Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

45.9%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles
1
Avg depth of target
7.7
Drop %
6.7%

Durability

  • 2023
  • 2024
  • 2025
    15 G · 2 Out
  • 16.0 projected games — last three seasons at a full slate.

R2 (39 overall) WR · that slot hit at 29.9% in 2010–2023 classes (n=67; contributor 58.2%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample

Separation
4.63yd

1st of 85

Cushion
7.43yd

3rd of 85

YAC above expected
0.93yd

18th of 85

Air yards share
9.7%

78th of 85

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Luther Burden III's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Burden scores 3,398 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Luther Burden III's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 7.4 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Luther Burden III in dynasty right now?
Age is on his side — a reasonable buy if the WR role keeps opening up. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.