What is Josh Downs's dynasty value on NextDyne?

Downs scores 3,866 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.

What is Josh Downs's 2026 Engine Projection?

We project 8.5 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.

How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?

Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.

Should I trade for Josh Downs in dynasty right now?

Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.

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WR · IND · #2

Josh Downs

Height: HT 5'9"
Weight: WT 175 lbs
Birth date: Aug 12, 2001 (age 25)
College: North Carolina

WR36 slipped to WR48 last year; that's the warning.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

3,866

Range 3,492–4,112

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

144.5 pts

8.5 PPG · 16.0 games

70 rec · 780.9 rec yds · 5.1 rec TD

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).

Quick answer

Watch

Downs caught 58 passes for 566 yards in 2025, finishing WR48. Production trend is soft: WR36 → WR48 over the last two seasons. 2026 looks more like a flex than a locked starter. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.

NextDyne coverage

Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Josh Downs.

RankingsAug 16, 2026NextDyne
5 Breakout Dynasty WRs to Target in 2026
Five 2026 dynasty WR names with a real role change: a $114 million Colts bet, a hamstring hangover that hid a top-10 start, and a Browns rookie still listed WR3.

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

107.4

PPG

6.7

Positional finish

WR48

Key stats

Rec: 58 (WR33)
Rec yds: 566 (WR51)
Rec TD: 4 (WR40)

2025: 6.7 PPG actual vs 6.6 expected from usage (16 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 2%.

Career (Half-PPR)

Season	Finish	Half-PPR FP	PPG	Rec	Rec yd	Rec TD	Rush yd	Rush TD	Pass yd	Pass TD
2025	WR48	107.4	6.7	58	566	4	-2	—	—	—
2024	WR36	147.5	10.5	72	803	5	12	—	—	—
2023	WR46	123.1	7.2	68	771	2	—	—	—	—

Career arc

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

Week	Half-PPR FP	Opp	Script	Rec	Rush
2025 W18	7.6	HOU	63 plays · 56% pass	61 · 4 rec	-5
2025 W17	4.4	JAX	53 plays · 59% pass	34 · 2 rec	0
2025 W16	9.3	SF	56 plays · 64% pass	65 · 5 rec	3
2025 W15	8.8	SEA	57 plays · 47% pass	13 / 1 TD · 3 rec	0
2025 W14	4.3	JAX	62 plays · 58% pass	23 · 4 rec	0
2025 W13	5.4	HOU	50 plays · 54% pass	44 · 2 rec	0
2025 W12	2.0	KC	50 plays · 62% pass	10 · 2 rec	0
2025 W10	0.8	ATL	67 plays · 39% pass	3 · 1 rec	0
2025 W9	12.7	PIT	69 plays · 73% pass	57 / 1 TD · 6 rec	0
2025 W8	11.4	TEN	49 plays · 63% pass	39 / 1 TD · 3 rec	0

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpected

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

HOU
-9% · 205 pass yards
JAX
+3% · 231 pass yards
SF
+7% · 242 pass yards
SEA
-5% · 213 pass yards
KC
-9% · 205 pass yards
ATL
-1% · 222 pass yards
PIT
+16% · 261 pass yards
TEN
+10% · 248 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 58.7% mean

target share

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

67.2%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles: 1
Avg depth of target: 7.2
Drop %: 4.5%

Durability

2023
17 G
2024
14 G · 2 Out
2025
16 G · 1 Out
16.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.

R3 (79 overall) WR · that slot hit at 18.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=64; contributor 34.4%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample

Separation: 2.68yd
Cushion: 7.21yd
YAC above expected: 0.13yd
Air yards share: 15.9%

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

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FAQ

What is Josh Downs's dynasty value on NextDyne?: Downs scores 3,866 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Josh Downs's 2026 Engine Projection?: We project 8.5 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?: Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Josh Downs in dynasty right now?: Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.