TE · FA · #81
Recent form cooled from TE4 to TE35 — watch whether that's noise or a real step down.
Traded from MIA to PIT (Jun 30, 2025).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
2,093
Range 1,957–2,227
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Peak window — still valuable, but age is already shaping the dynasty price.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
79.8 pts
4.7 PPG · 10.0 games
40.4 rec · 405.6 rec yds · 3.1 rec TD
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Versatility ×1.02
Light floor from multi-role usage (rush+receive or dual-threat).
Smith caught 38 passes for 222 yards in 2025, finishing TE35. He scored about 13% less than his touches said he should. Production trend is soft: TE4 → TE35 over the last two seasons. Don't pay for a bounce from the 2026 projection alone. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Half-PPR points
66.2
PPG
3.9
Positional finish
TE35
Key stats
2025: 3.9 PPG actual vs 4.5 expected from usage (17 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 13%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | TE35 | 66.2 | 3.9 | 38 | 222 | 2 | 70 | 1 | — | — |
| 2024 | TE4 | 178.3 | 10.5 | 88 | 884 | 8 | -1 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | TE17 | 99.2 | 5.8 | 50 | 582 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | TE48 | 38.5 | 3.2 | 27 | 245 | — | 5 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | TE35 | 53.4 | 3.3 | 28 | 294 | 1 | 40 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | TE11 | 119.7 | 8.6 | 41 | 448 | 8 | 4 | 1 | — | — |
| 2019 | TE20 | 87.2 | 5.8 | 35 | 439 | 3 | 78 | — | — | — |
| 2018 | TE32 | 53.8 | 4.5 | 20 | 258 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | TE48 | 36.7 | 2.6 | 18 | 157 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 0.9 | BAL | 71 plays · 66% pass | 2 · 1 rec | 2 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 5.2 | CLE | 63 plays · 62% pass | 18 · 5 rec | 9 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 2.8 | DET | 68 plays · 60% pass | 0 | 28 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 9.6 | MIA | 59 plays · 46% pass | 12 · 2 rec | 14 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 0.0 | BAL | 51 plays · 67% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 1.1 | BUF | 42 plays · 57% pass | 6 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 4.3 | CHI | 67 plays · 46% pass | 21 · 3 rec | 7 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 0.0 | CIN | 59 plays · 53% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 0.9 | LAC | 47 plays · 66% pass | 4 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 4.0 | IND | 58 plays · 60% pass | 25 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 52.7% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
53.6%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R3 (100 overall) TE · that slot hit at 22.2% in 2010–2023 classes (n=36; contributor 41.7%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
5th of 35
25th of 35
25th of 35
31st of 35
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.