QB · MIN · #9
J.J. McCarthy
- Height
- HT 6'3"
- Weight
- WT 202 lbs
- Birth date
- Jan 20, 2003 (age 23.6)
- College
- Michigan
Played a short 2025 (10 games) — health is the nearer question than talent.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
401
Range 357–445
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Young QB with proof and a long runway.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
54.7 pts
3.2 PPG · 6.0 games
719.1 pass yds · 4.7 pass TD · 79.8 rush yds
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Combine ×1.00
Athletic composite 7.0/10 (RAS-like; fades after year 2).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Quick answer
BuyMcCarthy threw for 1,632 yards and 11 TDs in 2025, finishing QB32. He scored about 16% less than his touches said he should. 2025 stopped at 10 games; staying on the field is the swing factor. The 2026 projection is cautious — wait for a real role change before paying up. Age is on his side — a reasonable buy if the QB role keeps opening up.
NextDyne coverage
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention J.J. McCarthy.
- StrategyNextDyne
Is T.J. Hockenson Still a Top-5 Dynasty TE?
Kyler Murray just won the Vikings' starting job over J.J. McCarthy. Here's what it means for T.J. Hockenson's dynasty value after two down years.
- NewsNextDyne
Kyler Murray Is Officially Minnesota's Starting QB — What That Means for His Dynasty Value
Kyler Murray's dynasty value after he took over as Minnesota's QB1 — the depth chart, the weapons, and what changes for J.J. McCarthy owners.
- StrategyNextDyne
Keep or Trade Justin Jefferson in Dynasty in 2026?
Justin Jefferson's WR25 finish in 2025 wasn't about him — it was Minnesota's quarterback play. Here's why his dynasty value bounces back in 2026.
2025 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
125.4
PPG
12.5
Positional finish
QB32
Key stats
- Pass yds: 1632 (QB33)
- Pass TD: 11 (QB29)
2025: 12.5 PPG actual vs 14.9 expected from usage (10 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 16%.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB32 | 125.4 | 12.5 | 1632 | 11 | 181 | 4 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2025)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 8.0 | GB | 62 plays · 50% pass | 182 | 7 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 8.3 | NYG | 54 plays · 43% pass | 108 | 20 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 23.5 | DAL | 52 plays · 46% pass | 250 / 2 TD | 15 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 20.4 | WAS | 57 plays · 40% pass | 163 / 3 TD | 19 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 0.5 | GB | 39 plays · 49% pass | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 6.0 | CHI | 54 plays · 59% pass | 150 / 1 TD | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 14.7 | BAL | 60 plays · 70% pass | 248 / 1 TD | 48 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 18.9 | DET | 54 plays · 46% pass | 143 / 2 TD | 12 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W2 | 2.8 | ATL | 40 plays · 53% pass | 158 | 25 | 0 |
| 2025 W1 | 22.2 | CHI | 46 plays · 44% pass | 143 / 2 TD | 25 / 1 TD | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
- GB-8% · 207 pass yards
- NYG+2% · 230 pass yards
- DAL+18% · 266 pass yards
- WAS+14% · 257 pass yards
- CHI+6% · 239 pass yards
- BAL+15% · 259 pass yards
- DET+5% · 237 pass yards
- ATL-1% · 222 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 91.6% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
93.2%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Pressure rate
- 26.5%
- On-target throw %
- 66.5%
- Avg time in pocket
- 2.5s
Durability
- 2023—
- 2024—
- 202510 G · 5 Out
- 6.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.
R1 (10 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
Next Gen Stats
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
- Time to throw
- 3.02s
- Aggressiveness
- 16.5%
- CPOE
- -5.2pp
- Air yds to sticks
- 0.7yd
39th of 42
13th of 42
40th of 42
3rd of 42
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is J.J. McCarthy's dynasty value on NextDyne?
- McCarthy scores 401 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is J.J. McCarthy's 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 3.2 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for J.J. McCarthy in dynasty right now?
- Age is on his side — a reasonable buy if the QB role keeps opening up. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.